Premier League Predictions
Premier League predictions by our AI, updated every matchday. England is the most efficient betting market in the world — which is exactly why we publish calibrated probabilities instead of invented certainties: when our model says 60 %, it has historically been right about 6 times out of 10, and you can verify it in our journal. For every fixture: 1X2 and Over/Under 2.5 probabilities from our xG-fed Dixon-Coles model, market odds comparison, most likely correct score and a written analysis before kick-off.
Upcoming analysed matches
Latest results
Top scorers
season 2026-27Standings
season 2026-27| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | +11 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Arsenal |
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Brighton |
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 7 | +16 | 16 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Liverpool |
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  Chelsea |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 6 |  Brentford |
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 11 | DWDLD |
| 7 |  Leeds United |
8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Newcastle United |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 |  Aston Villa |
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 |  Hull |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 |  Everton |
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 |  Ipswich Town |
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 13 |  AFC Bournemouth |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 14 |  Tottenham |
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 |  Fulham |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 |  Manchester United |
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace |
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 18 |  Nottingham Forest |
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 19 |  Coventry |
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 20 |  Sunderland |
8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -8 | 5 | LLLLD |
What our model is really worth on this league
Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.
Latest settled trends
Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.
Frequently asked questions
Which markets are covered?
1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.
When are predictions published?
Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.
Are Premier League predictions free?
Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.
How are these predictions generated?
By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.
Does ProbWin cover every Premier League match?
We publish analysis and model probabilities for Premier League matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.
Where can I see the Premier League table and stats?
On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Premier League scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.
All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.
