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Eliteserien Predictions

Norway · season 2026 · 16 clubs

Eliteserien predictions by our AI across Norway's calendar season. A league of extreme conditions — artificial pitches, trips to the Arctic Circle, fortresses like Bodø/Glimt's Aspmyra — and resolutely attacking football: 2.99 goals per game and 58 % of matches over 2.5 in our last two seasons of data.

3.18
goals / match
62 %
matches over 2.5
60 %
BTTS matches
3.5
cards / match
10.9
corners / match
176
matches played · season 2026

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

12/10KFUM Oslo — Valerenga2–1
11/10Start — Ham-Kam2–4
11/10Lillestrom — Molde2–2
11/10Fredrikstad — Tromso1–1
11/10Aalesund — Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4
10/10Rosenborg — Sandefjord1–1
10/10Bodo/Glimt — Kristiansund BK3–1
09/10Brann — Viking0–2
20/09Viking — Lillestrom3–0
20/09Valerenga — Fredrikstad1–1

Top scorers

season 2026
1 K. HøghBodo/Glimt 7 goals 4 assists
2 P. ChristiansenViking 6 goals 3 assists
3 J. Hjertø-DahlTromso 6 goals 2 assists
4 E. BreivikMolde 6 goals 1 assists
5 E. HestadMolde 5 goals 2 assists

Standings

season 2026
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Bodo/Glimt 221723 5620+36 53 WWWLW
2 Viking 221723 5620+36 53 WDWWW
3 Tromso 221165 4130+11 39 DLLWD
4 Molde 221147 4634+12 37 WWWLD
5 Rosenborg 221048 4031+9 34 LWWWD
6 Lillestrom 221039 3031-1 33 LWWLD
7 Brann 229211 3934+5 29 DLLWL
8 Fredrikstad 22859 2633-7 29 WLDDD
9 Sarpsborg 08 FF 22778 2831-3 28 DDDLW
10 KFUM Oslo 228410 2736-9 28 LLWWW
11 Ham-Kam 227510 3346-13 26 DLLLW
12 Sandefjord 226610 2228-6 24 DDLWD
13 Valerenga 226511 3545-10 23 LDLDL
14 Aalesund 22499 3550-15 21 LWLWL
15 Kristiansund BK 225413 2243-21 19 DWLLL
16 Start 224414 2448-24 16 WLWLL
European spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
68 %
winning calls · n=71
Match result (1X2)
54 %
winning calls · n=71

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

12/10 KFUM Oslo – Valerenga btts_yes @ 1.50 ✓
12/10 KFUM Oslo – Valerenga under35 @ 1.61 ✓
12/10 KFUM Oslo – Valerenga over15 @ 1.18 ✓
12/10 KFUM Oslo – Valerenga dnb_away @ 1.74 ✗
12/10 KFUM Oslo – Valerenga dc_12 @ 1.29 ✓
12/10 KFUM Oslo – Valerenga Over 2.5 @ 1.57 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Eliteserien predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Eliteserien match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Eliteserien matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Eliteserien table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Eliteserien scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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