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South Korea

K League 1 Predictions

South Korea · season 2026 · 12 clubs

K League 1 predictions by our AI across the Korean season. The anti-CSL: the tightest league in our coverage — 2.53 goals per game and just 47 % of matches over 2.5 in our last two seasons of data — with a singular format: after 33 rounds the league splits into Final A (title and Asia) and Final B (relegation), reshuffling the stakes of every game.

2.47
goals / match
46 %
matches over 2.5
53 %
BTTS matches
3.6
cards / match
8.5
corners / match
186
matches played · season 2026

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

11/10Gwangju FC — Ulsan Hyundai FC4–3
10/10Gimcheon Sangmu FC — FC Anyang0–1
10/10FC Seoul — Jeju United FC2–1
09/10Incheon United — Pohang Steelers3–0
09/10Gangwon FC — Bucheon FC 19952–0
09/10Daejeon Citizen — Jeonbuk Motors2–1
27/09Gangwon FC — Incheon United0–0
20/09Pohang Steelers — FC Seoul2–1
20/09Jeonbuk Motors — Gwangju FC2–2
20/09Incheon United — Daejeon Citizen1–1

Top scorers

season 2026
1 S. MugošaIncheon United 6 goals
2 Yago CarielloUlsan Hyundai FC 4 goals
3 Lee Ho-JaePohang Steelers 4 goals
4 Lee Seung-MoFC Seoul 3 goals 1 assists
5 Lee Seung-WooJeonbuk Motors 3 goals 1 assists

Standings

season 2026
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 FC Seoul 312056 5826+32 65 WLWLW
2 Ulsan Hyundai FC 3114512 4844+4 47 DWWLL
3 Gangwon FC 3111137 3828+10 46 DDLDW
4 Jeju United FC 3112109 3631+5 46 DWDWL
5 Jeonbuk Motors 3111119 3930+9 44 WDLDL
6 Daejeon Citizen 31111010 4838+10 43 WWDDW
7 Incheon United 3111911 3933+6 42 WLDDW
8 FC Anyang 31101110 3947-8 41 LLDWW
9 Pohang Steelers 3111713 2837-9 40 LDDWL
10 Gimcheon Sangmu FC 315188 3037-7 33 DDDWL
11 Bucheon FC 1995 3171113 3142-11 32 LLDLL
12 Gwangju FC 3121217 2566-41 18 DLDDW
Continental spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
45 %
winning calls · n=78
Match result (1X2)
35 %
winning calls · n=78

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

11/10 Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC btts_yes @ 1.62 ✓
11/10 Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC under35 @ 1.53 ✗
11/10 Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC over15 @ 1.19 ✓
11/10 Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC dnb_away @ 1.31 ✗
11/10 Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC dc_12 @ 1.24 ✓
11/10 Gwangju FC – Ulsan Hyundai FC Under 2.5 @ 2.38 ✗

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are K League 1 predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every K League 1 match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for K League 1 matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the K League 1 table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and K League 1 scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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