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Brasileirão Predictions

Brazil · season 2025-26 · 24 clubs

Brasileirão predictions by our AI, every matchday of South America's toughest league. Twenty clubs across a continent-sized country: huge travel, fixture lists saturated by continental cups, one of world football's strongest home advantages — and stars leaving for Europe mid-season, reshuffling the deck at every transfer window.

2.56
goals / match
48 %
matches over 2.5
51 %
BTTS matches
5.0
cards / match
10.2
corners / match
532
matches played · season 2025-26

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

26/10Flamengo RJ — Atletico-MG3–2
26/10Coritiba — Gremio0–1
25/10Santos — Bahia1–1
24/10Vitoria — Atletico Paranaense1–1
24/10Vasco — Corinthians3–2
24/10Palmeiras — Bragantino2–0
24/10Mirassol — Sao Paulo1–1
24/10Internacional — Botafogo RJ3–0
24/10Chapecoense-SC — Fluminense2–1
23/10Cruzeiro — Remo1–0

Top scorers

season 2025-26
1 K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense 21 goals 3 assists
2 PedroFlamengo RJ 16 goals 6 assists
3 Gabriel BarbosaSantos 15 goals 3 assists
4 Kaio JorgeCruzeiro 11 goals 2 assists
5 Luciano JubaBahia 11 goals 1 assists

Standings

season 2025-26
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Flamengo RJ 5435136 11438+76 118 WDWWW
2 Palmeiras 53321110 9342+51 107 DWWWW
3 Cruzeiro 53291410 8350+33 101 WWLWW
4 Mirassol 54231912 8261+21 88 WDLWD
5 Bahia 54241515 7264+8 87 LLWLD
6 Fluminense 53241316 7358+15 85 WWLLL
7 Botafogo RJ 54211716 7260+12 80 LLDWL
8 Atletico-MG 53201716 6659+7 77 WDWWL
9 Santos 53201518 7169+2 75 WDLWD
10 Sao Paulo 53191222 5764-7 69 LLWWD
11 Vasco 5218925 7277-5 63 WWDLW
12 Bragantino 53171224 6277-15 63 LDWDL
13 Gremio 53161423 6374-11 62 DDDLW
14 Vitoria 54151623 5076-26 61 LWLDD
15 Corinthians 53151424 6171-10 59 LLLDL
16 Internacional 53141623 6078-18 58 LWDLW
17 Ceara 38111017 3440-6 43 LLDLL
18 Fortaleza 38111017 4358-15 43 WWWWL
19 Juventude 389821 3569-34 35 DLDLD
20 Atletico Paranaense 15762 2720+7 27 WDWLD
21 Sport Recife 3821125 2875-47 17 LLLLL
22 Coritiba 15348 1429-15 13 LLDLL
23 Chapecoense-SC 15339 1531-16 12 DLLLW
24 Remo 15258 1421-7 11 LDDDL
Continental spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
49 %
winning calls · n=100
Match result (1X2)
47 %
winning calls · n=100

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

26/10 Flamengo RJ – Atletico-MG btts_yes @ 1.95 ✓
26/10 Flamengo RJ – Atletico-MG under35 @ 1.57 ✗
26/10 Flamengo RJ – Atletico-MG over15 @ 1.20 ✓
26/10 Flamengo RJ – Atletico-MG dnb_home @ 1.11 ✓
26/10 Flamengo RJ – Atletico-MG dc_1x @ 1.09 ✓
26/10 Flamengo RJ – Atletico-MG Over 2.5 @ 1.62 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Brasileirão predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Brasileirão match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Brasileirão matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Brasileirão table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Brasileirão scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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