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J1 League Predictions

Japan · season 2025-26 · 23 clubs

J1 League predictions by our AI, across Japan's calendar-year season. The J1 is a precision league — constant intensity, tight margins and tactical discipline that makes games more readable for a statistical model than many European leagues. Japan is one of the very few championships where our 1X2 passed our strictest certification: proven positive returns against real odds across multiple seasons, verifiable in our public journal.

2.55
goals / match
48 %
matches over 2.5
50 %
BTTS matches
2.5
cards / match
9.7
corners / match
519
matches played · season 2025-26

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

25/10Urawa Reds — V-Varen Nagasaki1–0
25/10Nagoya Grampus — Yokohama F. Marinos1–1
25/10Kawasaki Frontale — Okayama2–1
25/10FC Tokyo — Mito HollyHock6–0
25/10Cerezo Osaka — JEF United Chiba2–2
24/10Vissel Kobe — Machida0–0
24/10Verdy — Avispa Fukuoka3–1
24/10Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Shimizu S-Pulse4–0
24/10Kashima Antlers — Kashiwa Reysol2–3
24/10Gamba Osaka — Kyoto2–2

Top scorers

season 2025-26
1 Léo CearáKashima 10 goals 3 assists
2 K. TanimuraYokohama F. Marinos 10 goals 2 assists
3 Y. YamagishiNagoya Grampus 10 goals
4 Y. KimuraNagoya Grampus 9 goals 2 assists
5 S. SakuragawaCerezo Osaka 8 goals 1 assists

Standings

season 2025-26
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Kashiwa Reysol 5230139 9156+35 103 WWLDW
2 Kashima Antlers 5230913 8557+28 99 DWWDL
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 51291012 7638+38 97 WWWLW
4 Machida 52261313 8651+35 91 LWWWD
5 Vissel Kobe 52261214 6946+23 90 WLWLD
6 Kyoto 52221515 8069+11 81 WLLDD
7 Urawa Reds 52231217 6765+2 81 WLWWW
8 Kawasaki Frontale 51211614 9276+16 79 DLWWW
9 FC Tokyo 52211516 7161+10 78 WWWDW
10 Gamba Osaka 52201220 7279-7 72 LLDWD
11 Cerezo Osaka 52181618 7779-2 70 DDLDD
12 Yokohama F. Marinos 52171421 6660+6 65 WDDDD
13 Okayama 52181123 5261-9 65 LLLWL
14 Avispa Fukuoka 52151423 5162-11 59 LWLLL
15 Shimizu S-Pulse 52151423 5275-23 59 WWDLL
16 Nagoya Grampus 52151324 6178-17 58 LWWDD
17 Verdy 52121624 3567-32 52 LLLDW
18 Yokohama FC 389821 2745-18 35 DLLLW
19 Shonan Bellmare 388822 3663-27 32 DLWWL
20 Albirex Niigata 3841222 3667-31 24 LDLLD
21 V-Varen Nagasaki 14536 1719-2 18 DDLWL
22 Mito HollyHock 14239 1224-12 9 LLLLL
23 JEF United Chiba 14158 1528-13 8 LDDLD
Continental spots Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Match result (1X2)
46 %
winning calls · n=81
Over/Under 2.5
48 %
winning calls · n=80

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

25/10 Urawa Reds – V-Varen Nagasaki btts_yes @ 1.80 ✗
25/10 Nagoya Grampus – Yokohama F. Marinos btts_yes @ 1.65 ✓
25/10 Kawasaki Frontale – Okayama btts_yes @ 1.67 ✓
25/10 FC Tokyo – Mito HollyHock btts_yes @ 2.10 ✗
25/10 Cerezo Osaka – JEF United Chiba btts_yes @ 1.70 ✓
25/10 Urawa Reds – V-Varen Nagasaki under35 @ 1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are J1 League predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every J1 League match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for J1 League matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the J1 League table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and J1 League scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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