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Bulgarian First League Predictions

Bulgaria · season 2026 · 14 clubs

Bulgarian First League predictions by our AI. The most locked-down league in our entire coverage — 2.38 goals per game, just 44 % over 2.5 — ruled by Ludogorets for over a decade. Recently added to our coverage: the model's record here is being built in public, with no filtering.

2.7
goals / match
51 %
matches over 2.5
55 %
BTTS matches
4.7
cards / match
7.2
corners / match
76
matches played · season 2026

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

12/10Ludogorets — Arda Kardzhali5–0
11/10Septemvri Sofia — Dunav Ruse2–3
11/10CSKA 1948 — CSKA Sofia2–3
11/10Cherno More Varna — Levski Sofia0–2
10/10Lokomotiv Sofia — Lokomotiv Plovdiv1–1
10/10Botev Vratsa — Spartak Varna0–1
10/10Botev Plovdiv — Slavia Sofia1–0
20/09Spartak Varna — Lokomotiv Sofia0–1
20/09Lokomotiv Plovdiv — CSKA Sofia1–1
19/09Septemvri Sofia — Botev Plovdiv0–3

Standings

season 2026
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Levski Sofia 10910 234+19 28 WWWDW
2 CSKA Sofia 11830 279+18 27 DWWDW
3 Ludogorets 10820 217+14 26 DDWWW
4 CSKA 1948 11713 2113+8 22 WLWWL
5 Botev Plovdiv 11614 1714+3 19 LWWWW
6 Arda Kardzhali 11524 1517-2 17 WLLDL
7 Spartak Varna 11344 1115-4 13 DDDLW
8 Slavia Sofia 11254 990 11 LWDLL
9 Botev Vratsa 11236 920-11 9 LWDDL
10 Lokomotiv Sofia 11155 1219-7 8 LDLWD
11 Dunav Ruse 11227 1321-8 8 DLLDW
12 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 11227 614-8 8 LWLDD
13 Septemvri Sofia 11227 1021-11 8 DLLLL
14 Cherno More Varna 11137 1122-11 6 LLDDL
Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
46 %
winning calls · n=59
Match result (1X2)
54 %
winning calls · n=59

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

12/10 Ludogorets – Arda Kardzhali btts_no @ 1.83 ✓
12/10 Ludogorets – Arda Kardzhali under35 @ 1.32 ✗
12/10 Ludogorets – Arda Kardzhali over15 @ 1.31 ✓
12/10 Ludogorets – Arda Kardzhali dnb_home @ 1.22 ✓
12/10 Ludogorets – Arda Kardzhali dc_1x @ 1.16 ✓
12/10 Ludogorets – Arda Kardzhali Under 2.5 @ 1.87 ✗

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Bulgarian First League predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Bulgarian First League match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Bulgarian First League matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Bulgarian First League table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Bulgarian First League scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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