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France

Ligue 3 Predictions

France · season 2026 · 18 clubs

Championnat National predictions by our AI. France's third tier is trench football: 30 % draws and just 2.46 goals per game in our recent data — the most closed profile in French football, and one of its least data-covered leagues. We treat it with Ligue 1 tools.

2.38
goals / match
40 %
matches over 2.5
44 %
BTTS matches
81
matches played · season 2026

Upcoming analysed matches

Latest results

03/10Versailles — Valenciennes1–0
03/10Rouen — Bourg-en-bresse 012–0
03/10Le Puy Foot — Thionville Lusitanos1–0
03/10La Roche VF — Aubagne3–1
03/10Fleury 91 — Caen3–2
03/10Concarneau — Gobelins2–1
03/10Cannes — Quevilly3–1
03/10Amiens — Villefranche3–0
01/10Bastia — Orleans1–1
26/09Villefranche — Versailles1–2

Top scorers

season 2026
1 M. HamekAubagne 6 goals 1 assists
2 C. Raux YaoStade Briochin 3 goals
3 M. BeneddineChateauroux 2 goals 1 assists
4 M. PeybernesSochaux 1 goals
5 S. KieltConcarneau 1 goals

Standings

season 2026
#ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 La Roche VF 9630 158+7 21 DDWWW
2 Rouen 9621 175+12 20 DWWLW
3 Concarneau 9441 128+4 16 DWWDW
4 Versailles 9513 1312+1 16 LWDWW
5 Amiens 9432 123+9 15 WDWDW
6 Cannes 9360 114+7 15 WDDDW
7 Caen 9504 1712+5 15 WWLWL
8 Le Puy Foot 9414 119+2 13 DLWLW
9 Fleury 91 9333 1512+3 12 WWDLW
10 Thionville Lusitanos 9333 14140 12 DLDLL
11 Gobelins 9333 79-2 12 DLDWL
12 Bastia 9324 711-4 11 LWDLD
13 Quevilly 9243 812-4 10 DWDDL
14 Orleans 9234 711-4 9 DLLDD
15 Valenciennes 9225 914-5 8 DLLWL
16 Aubagne 9216 612-6 7 DLLWL
17 Bourg-en-bresse 01 9126 515-10 5 LLDDL
18 Villefranche 9117 722-15 4 LDLLL
Promotion Relegation Zones indicative — play-offs and relegation play-outs not detailed.

What our model is really worth on this league

Our engine (Dixon-Coles) runs under observation: calls stay "AI Trends" until the return is proven in live conditions — every trend is timestamped, settled against the final score and counted below, never dressed up. The line-by-line detail is public: trends journal.

Over/Under 2.5
sample still building
27 trends evaluated
Match result (1X2)
sample still building
27 trends evaluated

Latest settled trends

Published before kick-off, settled as-is — wins and losses alike.

03/10 Versailles – Valenciennes btts_yes @ 1.80 ✗
03/10 Rouen – Bourg-en-bresse 01 btts_yes @ 2.10 ✗
03/10 Le Puy Foot – Thionville Lusitanos btts_yes @ 1.83 ✗
03/10 La Roche VF – Aubagne btts_yes @ 1.91 ✓
03/10 Fleury 91 – Caen btts_yes @ 1.67 ✓
03/10 Concarneau – Gobelins btts_yes @ 2.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

Which markets are covered?

1X2 (match result) and Over/Under 2.5 goals on every covered match, plus the most likely correct scores. Every prediction is timestamped, then settled against the closing odds in our public journal — wins and losses alike.

When are predictions published?

Model probabilities are computed up to 7 days ahead and refreshed several times a day as odds move. The written analysis of each match is published before kick-off.

Are Ligue 3 predictions free?

Yes. The analysis of each match and the model probabilities are free. The detailed recommendation (market, odds and value) is reserved for subscribers.

How are these predictions generated?

By our AI model (Dixon-Coles + xG), recomputed before each match from recent form, team statistics and market odds, to estimate 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities and spot value.

Does ProbWin cover every Ligue 3 match?

We publish analysis and model probabilities for Ligue 3 matches as soon as the data (likely lineups, odds, recent form) is available, throughout the season.

Where can I see the Ligue 3 table and stats?

On this page: full standings, recent form, top scorers and Ligue 3 scoring averages, shown alongside the model's probabilities for each match.

All our predictions: football. To understand the method behind our predictions, see how our AI works.

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