Model accuracy, full numbers
8949 settled official picks, across all sports. Every row below is computed from our database when the page loads — wins and losses, no cherry-picking. Units are flat-stake (1 u per pick, at the odds recorded at publication time). The pick-by-pick, timestamped detail is in the public log; non-official football trends have their own log.
Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves a risk of loss — please gamble responsibly.
Soccer — 57.4 % win rate on 876 picks (-35.1 u)
| Month | Settled picks | Won | Lost | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 60 | 35 | 25 | 58.3 % | -3.6 |
| 2026-09 | 358 | 232 | 126 | 64.8 % | 1.5 |
| 2026-08 | 161 | 94 | 67 | 58.4 % | -15.5 |
| 2026-05 | 30 | 16 | 14 | 53.3 % | -3.3 |
| Total (all-time) | 876 | 503 | 373 | 57.4 % | -35.1 |
Breakdown by market (all-time)
| Market | Picks | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moins de 3,5 buts | 246 | 65.9 % | 9.2 |
| DNB domicile | 168 | 60.7 % | -17.2 |
| Plus de 2,5 buts | 139 | 54.7 % | 12.1 |
| Moins de 2,5 buts | 99 | 43.4 % | -7.2 |
| Double chance 1X | 43 | 67.4 % | -2.2 |
| Double chance X2 | 41 | 70.7 % | 6.4 |
| DNB extérieur | 36 | 41.7 % | -13.9 |
| BTTS Oui | 28 | 60.7 % | 2.1 |
| 1X2 domicile | 19 | 63.2 % | 1.4 |
| Handicap extérieur | 15 | 13.3 % | -10.9 |
| BTTS Non | 14 | 21.4 % | -7.0 |
| Corners − | 13 | 38.5 % | -5.4 |
Tennis — 62.3 % win rate on 729 picks (27.9 u)
| Month | Settled picks | Won | Lost | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 57.1 % | -2.4 |
| 2026-09 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 61.0 % | -0.9 |
| 2026-08 | 129 | 89 | 40 | 69.0 % | 15.4 |
| 2026-07 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 68.6 % | 3.0 |
| 2026-06 | 60 | 39 | 21 | 65.0 % | 4.2 |
| 2026-05 | 52 | 32 | 20 | 61.5 % | -1.0 |
| Total (all-time) | 729 | 454 | 275 | 62.3 % | 27.9 |
Breakdown by market (all-time)
| Market | Picks | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vainqueur | 719 | 62.7 % | 30.8 |
| Total jeux | 10 | 30.0 % | -2.9 |
MLB — 59.4 % win rate on 3510 picks (472.8 u)
| Month | Settled picks | Won | Lost | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 242 | 110 | 132 | 45.5 % | -14.3 |
| 2026-08 | 212 | 94 | 118 | 44.3 % | -13.7 |
| 2026-07 | 214 | 120 | 94 | 56.1 % | 9.7 |
| 2026-06 | 243 | 136 | 107 | 56.0 % | 11.9 |
| 2026-05 | 170 | 91 | 79 | 53.5 % | -2.1 |
| Total (all-time) | 3510 | 2086 | 1424 | 59.4 % | 472.8 |
Breakdown by market (all-time)
| Market | Picks | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Totals match | 1386 | 58.9 % | 193.7 |
| Totals F5 | 1233 | 61.9 % | 241.1 |
| Spreads | 891 | 56.8 % | 37.9 |
NBA — 59.6 % win rate on 559 picks (78.5 u)
| Month | Settled picks | Won | Lost | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total (all-time) | 559 | 333 | 226 | 59.6 % | 78.5 |
Breakdown by market (all-time)
| Market | Picks | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Totals | 341 | 63.0 % | 72.6 |
| Spreads | 218 | 54.1 % | 5.8 |
NHL — 59.0 % win rate on 2750 picks (269.0 u)
| Month | Settled picks | Won | Lost | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 57.9 % | 0.9 |
| 2026-09 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80.0 % | 2.3 |
| Total (all-time) | 2750 | 1622 | 1128 | 59.0 % | 269.0 |
Breakdown by market (all-time)
| Market | Picks | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Totals | 1463 | 58.1 % | 162.8 |
| Moneyline | 1287 | 60.0 % | 106.0 |
NFL — 55.3 % win rate on 38 picks (1.9 u)
| Month | Settled picks | Won | Lost | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62.5 % | 1.6 |
| 2026-09 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52.9 % | 0.0 |
| Total (all-time) | 38 | 21 | 17 | 55.3 % | 1.9 |
Breakdown by market (all-time)
| Market | Picks | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spreads | 36 | 55.6 % | 2.0 |
WNBA — 57.3 % win rate on 487 picks (47.6 u)
| Month | Settled picks | Won | Lost | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50.0 % | -0.6 |
| 2026-08 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 41.2 % | -3.8 |
| 2026-07 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 61.1 % | 2.9 |
| 2026-06 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 63.6 % | 4.9 |
| 2026-05 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 62.9 % | 7.1 |
| Total (all-time) | 487 | 279 | 208 | 57.3 % | 47.6 |
Breakdown by market (all-time)
| Market | Picks | Win rate | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Totals | 409 | 57.9 % | 45.2 |
| Spreads | 78 | 53.8 % | 2.2 |
How to read these numbers
Where do they come from? Every official pick is published before the game with its timestamped odds, then settled against the final score. This page aggregates those settlements — it cannot be doctored after the fact.
Why are some months negative? Because that is how probabilities work: an honest model goes through red months. Services that only show green are hiding their losses.
Win rate alone is not enough: a winning pick at 1.30 returns less than one at 2.20 — that is why flat-stake units accompany every row.
