Our AI analyzes millions of data points to identify positive expected value bets.
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Skeptical? Check our results — every pick is public and verifiable.
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Before you decide: where ProbWin comes from, and why only data and honesty matter. 3 minutes.
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| Features | Free | Pro |
|---|---|---|
| Access to sports pages | ✓ | ✓ |
| Results history | ✓ | ✓ |
| Daily detailed analyses | ✗ | ✓ |
| AI probabilities | ✗ | ✓ |
| Value % (estimated edge) | ✗ | ✓ |
| Support | Standard | Priority |
Not a promise — the live state of the product as you read this page.
Live figures from our database — refreshed every 10 minutes. Every prediction is then settled and kept in our track record.
An analysis is only as good as what feeds it. Here are the real data sources — some public, some paid — and the models trained sport by sport that break down every match to help you decide. No promise of profit: just a clear, evidence-backed read, match after match.
Pinnacle — the efficient-market reference — and the main European bookmakers, aggregated through a professional odds API (paid quota). Pinnacle is the benchmark the model measures the gap against: that's what makes the odds comparator and edge calculation possible.
Match history, rankings and Pinnacle closing odds (OnCourt subscription data) feed an in-house Elo: a global rating plus surface-specific ratings (hard, clay, grass, indoor), adaptive K-factor and inactivity decay. A raw ranking doesn't capture that; this engine does.
xG for the major European leagues, from public Understat data, feed a generative model: Poisson on attacking lambdas, then isotonic calibration on past seasons. We derive 1X2 and Over/Under probabilities — a distribution, not a hunch.
CatBoost (MLB, WNBA), CatBoost + LightGBM ensembles (NHL), GradientBoosting regression (NBA), Elo (Tennis). Each is walk-forward validated to rule out look-ahead bias. Where no edge exists — NBA spreads — we own it: fatigue rules only, no model invented for show.
No raw stats to untangle: for every match, a clear, complete analysis — form, rest, head-to-head, absences, context — that turns our models' probabilities into a ready-to-use read, specific to your match. You decide faster and better informed, instead of crunching the numbers yourself.
Some of these sources are free (public Understat xG); the rest are paid and recurring: an OnCourt data subscription, a metered odds API, and compute to retrain every week. That real, measurable cost is what your subscription funds.
Enter your parameters and see the potential profit.
Hypothetical simulation. Past results do not guarantee future results. View our verifiable results.
Yes, 7 days of full Pro access. No credit card required. You can test all features with no commitment whatsoever.
Our AI is 100% proprietary: Machine Learning models (gradient boosting) trained on years of sports data. It is not a simple wrapper around ChatGPT — it is technology developed in-house.
Soccer (Premier League, Bundesliga, La Liga, Serie A, Ligue 1), NBA (Basketball), NHL (Hockey), NFL (American Football) and MLB (Baseball). Markets: Totals, Moneyline, Spreads, Over/Under, 1X2 depending on sport.
Absolutely. Cancel in one click from your account. You keep access until the end of the paid period.
Coming soon! We are working on notifications via email, WhatsApp and Telegram to alert you of new analyses in real time.
Detailed analyses are published a few hours before game time, once lines have stabilized. You will receive a notification if you enable email alerts.
The Day Pass gives you full access to ProbWin PRO for 24 hours. Ideal for trying the service or on a busy game day. No automatic renewal.
€2.99 for full access, no commitment. See the results for yourself.
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