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Spartak Varna vs Arda Kardzhali prediction: AI analysis & odds

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SPASpartak Varna
Spartak Varna
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Last 5 L W L D D
VS
31/10/2026
Kick-off 17:00 Paris time
ARDArda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali
Away
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Last 5 D L D L L
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
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AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
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How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Spartak Varna-Arda Kardzhali score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

No absences reported for this match.

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

9 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Arda Kardzhali STAT Spartak Varna
1.46
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.69
1.8
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.4
1.6
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.8
3.0
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
1.6
1.20
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
1.00
50.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
60.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
40.0%
40.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
40.0%
9
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
3
Spartak VarnaSpartak VarnaHOM
Oct. 24, 2026Dunav Ruse - Spartak Varna2 - 0L
Oct. 10, 2026Botev Vratsa - Spartak Varna0 - 1W
Sept. 20, 2026Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Sof…0 - 1L
Sept. 13, 2026Slavia Sofia - Spartak Varna0 - 0D
Sept. 5, 2026Spartak Varna - CSKA Sofia1 - 1D
Arda KardzhaliArda KardzhaliAWY
Oct. 27, 2026Arda Kardzhali - Levski Sofia1 - 1D
Oct. 12, 2026Ludogorets - Arda Kardzhali5 - 0L
Sept. 19, 2026Arda Kardzhali - Cherno More V…1 - 1D
Sept. 12, 2026CSKA Sofia - Arda Kardzhali4 - 1L
Sept. 4, 2026Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv2 - 3L

Head-to-Head

27/02/26Arda Kardzhali — Spartak Varna1 – 0
13/09/25Spartak Varna — Arda Kardzhali3 – 0
07/02/25Arda Kardzhali — Spartak Varna2 – 2
16/08/24Spartak Varna — Arda Kardzhali1 – 0
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Spartak Varna – Arda Kardzhali ?

Le match se joue le 31/10/2026 à 17:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Spartak Varna – Arda Kardzhali ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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