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Corinthians vs Vitoria prediction: AI analysis & odds

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CORCorinthians
Corinthians
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L L L L L
VS
20/10/2026
Kick-off 01:00 Paris time
VITVitoria
Vitoria
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L W L D W
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

6 markets analyzed
In this league, 4 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 1.62X @ 3.862 @ 6.04
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
Yes @ 2.00No @ 1.70
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 6 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Corinthians-Vitoria score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Corinthians occupe la 15e place du classement. Corinthians marque 0.8 but par match et en encaisse 2.0 sur ses 5 derniers matchs, pour 0 point sur 15. Vitoria est 14e. Vitoria marque 1.8 but par match et en encaisse 1.4 sur ses 5 derniers matchs, pour 7 points sur 15.

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Absences

  • 🩹 M. Depay — Corinthians · Yellow Cards
  • 🩹 Kayke — Corinthians · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 Z. Labyad — Corinthians · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 Baralhas — Vitoria · Broken Leg
  • 🩹 Caca — Vitoria · Yellow Cards
  • 🩹 Camutanga — Vitoria · Broken Leg
  • 🩹 Dudu — Vitoria · Back Injury
  • 🩹 Edu — Vitoria · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • 🩹 Fabiano — Vitoria · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 Nathan Mendes — Vitoria · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 Ramon — Vitoria · Leg Injury
  • 🩹 Riccieli — Vitoria · Calf Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Vitoria STAT Corinthians
1.42
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.63
0.88
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.77
1.13
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.23
1.8
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.8
1.4
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.0
6.2
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
4.6
0.60
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
0.60
50.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
60.0%
30.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
70.0%
30.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
20.0%
7
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
0
CorinthiansCorinthiansHOM
Oct. 11, 2026Palmeiras - Corinthians4 - 1L
Oct. 7, 2026Internacional - Corinthians2 - 1L
Sept. 20, 2026Corinthians - Fluminense1 - 3L
Sept. 17, 2026Corinthians - Estudiantes L…0 - 1L
Sept. 13, 2026Flamengo RJ - Corinthians2 - 1L
VitoriaVitoriaAWY
Oct. 11, 2026Sao Paulo - Vitoria2 - 1L
Oct. 7, 2026Vitoria - Chapecoense-SC4 - 0W
Sept. 20, 2026Vitoria - Cruzeiro1 - 3L
Sept. 13, 2026Mirassol - Vitoria2 - 2D
Sept. 7, 2026Vitoria - Gremio1 - 0W

Head-to-Head

25/10/25Vitoria — Corinthians0 – 1
01/06/25Corinthians — Vitoria0 – 0
09/11/24Vitoria — Corinthians1 – 2
05/07/24Corinthians — Vitoria3 – 2

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 O 2.5U 2.5 O 1.5U 1.5 O 3.5U 3.5 BTTS yesBTTS no 1X12X2 DNB 1DNB 2
Pinnacle 1.62 3.86 6.04 2.17 1.72 1.37 3.14 3.92 1.27 — — — — — — —
Bet365 1.60 3.75 6.25 2.10 1.70 1.36 3.20 4.00 1.25 2.05 1.70 1.12 1.28 2.20 1.20 4.33
1xBet 1.68 3.84 5.36 2.07 1.79 1.30 2.97 3.42 1.23 1.98 1.74 1.16 1.27 2.21 — —
William Hill 1.62 3.50 5.00 — — — — — — 2.00 1.75 1.15 1.25 2.15 1.22 3.80
Marathonbet 1.60 3.72 5.50 2.11 1.68 1.33 2.83 3.58 1.21 2.06 1.66 1.12 1.25 2.23 — —
BetVictor 1.62 3.70 5.75 2.01 1.69 1.33 3.10 3.90 1.22 2.00 1.70 1.15 1.20 2.20 1.22 4.00

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Corinthians – Vitoria ?

Le match se joue le 20/10/2026 à 01:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Corinthians – Vitoria ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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