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Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg prediction: AI analysis & odds

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SARSarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
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VS
18/10/2026
Kick-off 14:30 Paris time
ROSRosenborg
Rosenborg
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Last 5 D W W W L
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 4 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
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AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Sarpsborg 08 FF-Rosenborg score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 F. Carstensen — Sarpsborg 08 FF · Injury
  • 🩹 M. Opoku — Sarpsborg 08 FF · Ankle Injury
  • 🩹 J. Bakke — Rosenborg · Injury
  • 🩹 I. Fossum — Rosenborg · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 E. Slordal — Rosenborg · Foot Injury
  • 🩹 H. Volden — Rosenborg · Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Rosenborg STAT Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.87
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.54
1.69
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.35
1.68
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.67
3.2
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.0
1.8
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.6
7.6
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.6
2.40
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
1.20
90.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
60.0%
50.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
40.0%
12
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
3
Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FFHOM
Oct. 11, 2026Aalesund - Sarpsborg 08 …2 - 4W
Sept. 18, 2026Sarpsborg 08 … - KFUM Oslo1 - 3L
Sept. 13, 2026Fredrikstad - Sarpsborg 08 …1 - 1D
Sept. 6, 2026Sarpsborg 08 … - Valerenga2 - 2D
Aug. 30, 2026Tromso - Sarpsborg 08 …0 - 0D
RosenborgRosenborgAWY
Oct. 10, 2026Rosenborg - Sandefjord1 - 1D
Sept. 19, 2026Kristiansund … - Rosenborg1 - 3W
Sept. 12, 2026Rosenborg - Tromso5 - 3W
Sept. 5, 2026Rosenborg - Ham-Kam4 - 0W
Aug. 30, 2026Bodo/Glimt - Rosenborg4 - 2L

Head-to-Head

12/04/26Rosenborg — Sarpsborg 08 FF2 – 1
05/10/25Rosenborg — Sarpsborg 08 FF2 – 3
18/07/25Sarpsborg 08 FF — Rosenborg2 – 2
23/11/24Rosenborg — Sarpsborg 08 FF1 – 1
12/07/24Sarpsborg 08 FF — Rosenborg4 – 1
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Sarpsborg 08 FF – Rosenborg ?

Le match se joue le 18/10/2026 à 14:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Sarpsborg 08 FF – Rosenborg ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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