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Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC prediction: AI analysis & odds

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DAEDaejeon Citizen
Daejeon Citizen
Home
★Follow
Last 5 D W D W D
VS
18/10/2026
Kick-off 07:00 Paris time
GWAGwangju FC
Gwangju FC
Away
★Follow
Last 5 W D D L D
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

6 markets analyzed
In this league, 5 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 6 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Daejeon Citizen-Gwangju FC score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

No absences reported for this match.

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

9 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Gwangju FC STAT Daejeon Citizen
0.67
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.00
1.4
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.4
2.2
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.6
2.0
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.4
1.20
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.40
50.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
70.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
30.0%
3
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
8
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon CitizenHOM
Oct. 13, 2026SHANGHAI SIPG - Daejeon Citiz…1 - 1D
Oct. 9, 2026Daejeon Citiz… - Jeonbuk Motors2 - 1W
Sept. 20, 2026Incheon United - Daejeon Citiz…1 - 1D
Sept. 15, 2026Daejeon Citiz… - Kyoto Sanga1 - 0W
Sept. 12, 2026Daejeon Citiz… - Pohang Steele…2 - 2D
Gwangju FCGwangju FCAWY
Oct. 11, 2026Gwangju FC - Ulsan Hyundai…4 - 3W
Sept. 20, 2026Jeonbuk Motors - Gwangju FC2 - 2D
Sept. 13, 2026Gwangju FC - FC Anyang1 - 1D
Sept. 9, 2026Gwangju FC - Jeju United FC0 - 1L
Sept. 6, 2026Gimcheon Sang… - Gwangju FC2 - 2D

Head-to-Head

02/08/26Daejeon Citizen — Gwangju FC2 – 0
02/05/26Gwangju FC — Daejeon Citizen0 – 5
17/08/25Gwangju FC — Daejeon Citizen2 – 0
22/06/25Gwangju FC — Daejeon Citizen2 – 2
29/03/25Daejeon Citizen — Gwangju FC1 – 1
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Daejeon Citizen – Gwangju FC ?

Le match se joue le 18/10/2026 à 07:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Daejeon Citizen – Gwangju FC ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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