Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

Brighton vs Crystal Palace prediction: AI analysis & odds

AI Trend 🔒 Members only — 7-day free trial
BRIBrighton
Brighton
Home
★Follow
Last 5 W W W W D
VS
18/10/2026
Kick-off 15:00 Paris time
CRYCrystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Away
★Follow
Last 5 W D W L W
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 4 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
See them — 7-day free trial
No credit card required.

Brighton-Crystal Palace score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 A. Disasi — Crystal Palace · Red Card
  • 🩹 D. Henderson — Crystal Palace · Foot Injury
  • 🩹 J. Mateta — Crystal Palace · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 C. Riad — Crystal Palace · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 A. Khalaili — Crystal Palace · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 T. Tomiyasu — Crystal Palace · Calf Injury
  • 🩹 E. Ferguson — Brighton · Ankle Injury
  • 🩹 Y. Minteh — Brighton · Injury
  • 🩹 S. Tzimas — Brighton · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 F. Azeez — Brighton · Abdominal strain
  • 🩹 L. Dunk — Brighton · Neck Injury
  • 🩹 J. Hinshelwood — Brighton · Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Crystal Palace STAT Brighton
1.27
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
2.31
1.90
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.75
1.41
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.54
1.2
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
3.2
2.2
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.0
3.6
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.8
1.00
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.20
80.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
80.0%
60.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
30.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
50.0%
4
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
10
BrightonBrightonHOM
Oct. 10, 2026Sunderland - Brighton0 - 2W
Sept. 19, 2026Brighton - Arsenal3 - 0W
Sept. 16, 2026Manchester Un… - Brighton2 - 3W
Sept. 13, 2026Coventry - Brighton0 - 5W
Sept. 5, 2026Brighton - Leeds United1 - 1D
Crystal PalaceCrystal PalaceAWY
Oct. 11, 2026Crystal Palace - Nottingham Fo…3 - 1W
Sept. 20, 2026Leeds United - Crystal Palace0 - 0D
Sept. 17, 2026Crystal Palace - Lech Poznan4 - 0W
Sept. 12, 2026Crystal Palace - Ipswich Town2 - 3L
Sept. 8, 2026Crystal Palace - Middlesbrough3 - 0W

Head-to-Head

08/02/26Brighton — Crystal Palace0 – 1
09/11/25Crystal Palace — Brighton0 – 0
05/04/25Crystal Palace — Brighton2 – 1
15/12/24Brighton — Crystal Palace1 – 3
03/02/24Brighton — Crystal Palace4 – 1
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Brighton – Crystal Palace ?

Le match se joue le 18/10/2026 à 15:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Brighton – Crystal Palace ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700