Ipswich Town vs Fulham prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Ipswich Town-Fulham score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Ipswich Town sit 11th in the table. The club scores 1.6 goals and concedes 2.6 per game over its last 5 matches, for 6 points out of 15. Fulham sit 19th. The club scores 1.2 goals and concedes 1.4 per game over its last 5 matches, for 4 points out of 15.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Over 1.5 goals: our lean goes to this line. Our model expects 1.37 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.43 for Fulham, 2.80 in total, a scenario that clears the line with the second goal. Its 80.0% probability against the 79.4% implied by the odds gives a thin edge, +0.6 pts. One number cuts the other way: Ipswich Town failed to score in 40% of their last 10 matches, and so did Fulham.
Under 3.5 goals: our lean also goes to this line, which loses at 4 goals. Recent xG created by the two attacks added together come to 2.95, under the line and in the direction of our model. Against that, Ipswich Town concede 2.6 goals per game and 70% of their last 10 matches went over 2.5 goals; Fulham sit at 30%. The 72.0% probability is verified over two test seasons in this league: it is proof the probability is reliable, neither a guarantee nor an edge over the odds (edge +2.6 pts).
Over 2.5 goals: our model leans to this line, but the price does not pay this scenario (53.5% against 55.2%). Over 2.5 and under 3.5 only win together on exactly 3 goals, a narrow outcome.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Away win: our model gives Fulham 36.6%, Ipswich Town 33.9% and the draw 29.5%, a tight balance of strength. The market sees Fulham as a slight favorite and gives the draw 26.7%. Our model leans to Fulham, but the price does not pay this scenario.
Away draw no bet: the stake is refunded on a draw and lost if Fulham lose. Our model leans to this line, but the price does not pay this scenario.
Double chance 12 (no draw): it wins if either club wins and loses on a draw. Our model leans to this line, but the price does not pay this scenario; it is the widest gap on the list, and it does not change the reading.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes: our model leans to this line (59.4%), but the price does not pay this scenario. The probability is verified over two test seasons in this league, proof of reliability and not an edge over the odds. Ipswich Town and Fulham each failed to score in 40% of their last 10 matches, which tempers this reading.
The scenario that sinks under 3.5 goals is an open game with 4 goals or more: Ipswich Town concede 2.6 goals per game over their last 5 matches and have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last 10. We accept this risk, because Fulham score 1.2 goals per game and only 30% of their last 10 matches went over 2.5 goals.
Our lean goes to under 3.5 goals @ 1.44, with over 1.5 goals @ 1.26 as support; the other lines are not paid by the odds. These are leans, with no staking advice.
Key Factors
Line-ups & absences
- 🩹 I. Fatawu — Ipswich Town · Red Card
- 🩹 T. Cairney — Fulham · Knee Injury
- 🩹 K. Tete — Fulham · Concussion
- 🩹 A. Robinson — Fulham · Ankle Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Fulham
STAT
Ipswich Town
Ipswich TownHOMFulhamAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Ipswich Town – Fulham ?
Le match se joue le 10/10/2026 à 16:00 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Ipswich Town – Fulham ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
