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TOR @ SEA WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
TORTOR
Toronto Tempo
Away · 11W-28L
VS
2026-08-26
Climate Pledge Arena · Seattle, WA
SEASEA
Seattle Storm
Home · 8W-33L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 175.5 1.91
Under 175.5 1.88
TOR 1.97 -6.0
SEA 1.85 6.0
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official OVER 175.5
Model confidence97 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+9.5 %
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 26/08 à 16:02 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
97%
Net Rating-13.9 vs -10.1TOR away · SEA home
Pace81.0 vs 84.5possessions / game
Projected total185.0vs line 175.5
Model confidence97%OVER 175.5
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 175.5 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Seattle Storm (8-33) reçoit Toronto Tempo (11-28) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

SEA: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
TOR: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Seattle Storm (3.8 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 175.5. Modèle prédit 185.0 pts (9.5 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Présence d'une équipe expansion 2026 (POR/TOR) — données rolling encore limitées
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
-1.8 pts
Rest (away / home)
3dvs3d
Net Rating
-13.9vs-10.1
Pace
81.0vs84.5
Rest advantage
Even
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Head-to-Head

2TOR
SEA0
30/05/26SEA @ TOR72 – 93
13/05/26SEA @ TOR73 – 86

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

TOR STAT SEA
104.0
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
103.3
119.2
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
111.2
-15.2
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-7.9
81.6
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
84.8
51.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
49.0%
15.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
13.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was TOR @ SEA played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-08-26.

Where can I find the prediction for TOR @ SEA?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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