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TOR @ WAS WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
TORTOR
Toronto Tempo
Away · 11W-32L
VS
2026-08-19
Capital One Arena · Washington, DC
WASWAS
Washington Mystics
Home · 27W-18L
Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 167.5 1.92
Under 167.5 1.87
TOR 1.95 -10.5
WAS 1.87 10.5
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official pick OVER 167.5
Model confidence96 %
Odds
1.92
Market
Totals O/U
Taken on 19/08 · 16:02 at odds of 1.92

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
96%
Net Rating-19.0 vs +6.0TOR away · WAS home
Pace81.5 vs 80.3possessions / game
Projected total175.6vs line 167.5
Model confidence96%OVER 167.5
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 167.5 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Washington Mystics (27-18) reçoit Toronto Tempo (11-32) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● WAS: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
● TOR: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Washington Mystics (25.0 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 167.5. Modèle prédit 175.6 pts (8.1 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

● TOR sort d'un back-to-back, fatigue probable sur le 4e quart-temps
● Présence d'une équipe expansion 2026 (POR/TOR) — données rolling encore limitées
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
-1.4 pts
Rest (away / home)
1d B2Bvs4d
Net Rating
-19.0vs+6.0
Pace
81.5vs80.3
Rest advantage
+3d home
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Head-to-Head

0TOR
WAS2
14/07/26WAS @ TOR79 – 62
12/06/26TOR @ WAS85 – 86

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

TOR STAT WAS
102.1
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
108.4
119.5
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
104.1
-17.5
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
+4.3
82.0
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
79.0
53.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
52.0%
18.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
15.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was TOR @ WAS played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-08-19.

Where can I find the prediction for TOR @ WAS?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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