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SEA @ GSV WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
SEASEA
Seattle Storm
Away · 8W-36L
VS
2026-09-19
Chase Center · San Francisco, CA
GSVGSV
Golden State Valkyries
Home · 40W-16L
Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 157.0 1.89
Under 157.0 1.89
SEA 1.96 -12.0
GSV 1.86 12.0
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official pick OVER 157.0
Model confidence94 %
Odds
1.89
Market
Totals O/U
Taken on 19/09 · 16:02 at odds of 1.89

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
94%
Net Rating-10.4 vs +14.6SEA away · GSV home
Pace85.3 vs 76.5possessions / game
Projected total162.1vs line 157.0
Model confidence94%OVER 157.0
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 157.0 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Golden State Valkyries (40-16) reçoit Seattle Storm (8-36) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● GSV: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
● SEA: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Golden State Valkyries (25.0 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 157.0. Modèle prédit 162.1 pts (5.1 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

● GSV enchaîne un back-to-back, désavantage de fraîcheur
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
+1.8 pts
Rest (away / home)
2dvs1d B2B
Net Rating
-10.4vs+14.6
Pace
85.3vs76.5
Rest advantage
-1d home
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Head-to-Head

2SEA
GSV3
12/06/26GSV @ SEA76 – 72
08/05/26GSV @ SEA91 – 80
09/09/25GSV @ SEA73 – 74
16/07/25GSV @ SEA58 – 67
29/06/25SEA @ GSV57 – 84

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

SEA STAT GSV
97.8
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
107.2
105.7
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
92.3
-7.9
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
+14.9
85.8
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
76.2
47.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
51.0%
14.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
12.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was SEA @ GSV played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-09-19.

Where can I find the prediction for SEA @ GSV?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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