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SEA @ DAL WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
SEASEA
Seattle Storm
Away · 8W-33L
VS
2026-08-23
College Park Center · Arlington, TX
DALDAL
Dallas Wings
Home · 25W-16L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 173.0 1.88
Under 173.0 1.91
SEA 1.86 -8.0
DAL 1.96 8.0
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official OVER 173.0
Model confidence96 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+7.8 %
Odds
1.88
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 23/08 à 16:02 — odds at the time: 1.88 (CLV tracking)

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
96%
Net Rating-7.9 vs -3.6SEA away · DAL home
Pace84.8 vs 80.3possessions / game
Projected total180.9vs line 173.0
Model confidence96%OVER 173.0
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 173.0 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Dallas Wings (25-16) reçoit Seattle Storm (8-33) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

DAL: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
SEA: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Dallas Wings (4.3 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 173.0. Modèle prédit 180.8 pts (7.8 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Pas de risque structurel identifié par le modèle
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
+2.1 pts
Rest (away / home)
7dvs3d
Net Rating
-7.9vs-3.6
Pace
84.8vs80.3
Rest advantage
-4d home
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Head-to-Head

2SEA
DAL3
22/06/26DAL @ SEA112 – 110
01/06/26SEA @ DAL56 – 79
22/08/25SEA @ DAL95 – 60
22/07/25DAL @ SEA87 – 63
03/06/25DAL @ SEA77 – 83

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

SEA STAT DAL
107.2
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
105.4
115.6
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
109.3
-8.3
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-3.9
84.0
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
80.5
51.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
51.0%
13.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
14.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was SEA @ DAL played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-08-23.

Where can I find the prediction for SEA @ DAL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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