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SEA @ NYL WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
SEASEA
Seattle Storm
Away · 8W-36L
VS
2026-08-03
Barclays Center · Brooklyn, NY
NYLNYL
New York Liberty
Home · 29W-21L
Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 183.5 1.88
Under 183.5 1.90
SEA 1.91 -7.5
NYL 1.91 7.5
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official pick OVER 183.5
Model confidence94 %
Odds
1.88
Market
Totals O/U
Taken on 03/08 · 16:02 at odds of 1.88

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
94%
Net Rating-5.2 vs -4.9SEA away · NYL home
Pace86.0 vs 75.3possessions / game
Projected total175.1vs line 183.5
Model confidence94%OVER 183.5
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 183.5 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

New York Liberty (29-21) reçoit Seattle Storm (8-36) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● NYL: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
● SEA: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 183.5. Modèle prédit 175.1 pts (5.3 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

● Pas de risque structurel identifié par le modèle
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
+1.2 pts
Rest (away / home)
3dvs2d
Net Rating
-5.2vs-4.9
Pace
86.0vs75.3
Rest advantage
-1d home
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Head-to-Head

3SEA
NYL2
25/06/26NYL @ SEA88 – 99
05/09/25NYL @ SEA84 – 76
06/07/25SEA @ NYL79 – 70
22/06/25NYL @ SEA79 – 89
05/09/24SEA @ NYL70 – 77

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

SEA STAT NYL
100.4
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
111.4
106.3
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
114.5
-5.9
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-3.2
84.8
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
75.1
49.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
54.0%
16.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
15.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was SEA @ NYL played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-08-03.

Where can I find the prediction for SEA @ NYL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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