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POR @ WAS WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
PORPOR
Portland Fire
Away · 16W-24L
VS
2026-06-28
Capital One Arena · Washington, DC
WASWAS
Washington Mystics
Home · 24W-16L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 167.5 1.94
Under 167.5 1.91
POR 1.93 -6.5
WAS 1.89 6.5
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

AI Trend UNDER 167.5
Model confidence93 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 05/08 à 20:50 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend WAS -6.5
Model confidence56 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.89
Market
Spread

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
93%
Net Rating-15.1 vs -3.0POR away · WAS home
Pace81.0 vs 81.2possessions / game
Projected total174.2vs line 167.5
Model confidence93%UNDER 167.5
View full analysis

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Washington Mystics (24-16) reçoit Portland Fire (16-24) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

WAS: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
POR: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Washington Mystics (12.1 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : tendance OVER la ligne (6.7 pts d'écart), à confirmer.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Présence d'une équipe expansion 2026 (POR/TOR) — données rolling encore limitées
Verdict Probwin

Pas de pick officiel ProbWin sur ce match. Analyse mécanique uniquement à partir des données du modèle. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
-1.6 pts
Rest (away / home)
2dvs2d
Net Rating
-15.1vs-3.0
Pace
81.0vs81.2
Rest advantage
Even
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Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

POR STAT WAS
100.1
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
100.2
114.0
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
102.3
-13.9
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-2.1
80.3
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
82.0
51.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
50.0%
17.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
18.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was POR @ WAS played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-06-28.

Where can I find the prediction for POR @ WAS?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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