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NYL @ POR WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
NYLNYL
New York Liberty
Away · 25W-16L
VS
2026-05-12
PORPOR
Portland Fire
Home · 16W-24L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 172.5 1.93
Under 172.5 1.89
NYL 1.87 12.0
POR 1.95 -12.0
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official OVER 172.5
Model confidence97 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+10.3 %
Odds
1.93
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 12/05 à 16:01 — odds at the time: 1.93 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend NYL +12.0
Model confidence57 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.95
Market
Spread

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
97%
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 172.5 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Portland Fire (16-24) reçoit New York Liberty (25-16) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

POR: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
NYL: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 172.5. Modèle prédit 171.2 pts (10.3 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Présence d'une équipe expansion 2026 (POR/TOR) — données rolling encore limitées
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
Neutral
Rest (away / home)
2dvs7d
Net Rating
Pace
Rest advantage
+5d home
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Frequently asked questions

When was NYL @ POR played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-05-12.

Where can I find the prediction for NYL @ POR?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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