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MIN @ IND WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
MINMIN
Minnesota Lynx
Away · 33W-13L
VS
2026-09-22
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis, IN
INDIND
Indiana Fever
Home · 29W-18L
Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 185.5 1.83
Under 185.5 1.96
MIN 1.91 1.0
IND 1.91 -1.0
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official pick OVER 185.5
Model confidence96 %
Odds
1.83
Market
Totals O/U
Taken on 22/09 · 16:02 at odds of 1.83

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
96%
Net Rating+2.7 vs +9.5MIN away · IND home
Pace80.4 vs 83.2possessions / game
Projected total194.4vs line 185.5
Model confidence96%OVER 185.5
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 185.5 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Indiana Fever (29-18) reçoit Minnesota Lynx (33-13) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● IND: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
● MIN: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Indiana Fever (6.8 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 185.5. Modèle prédit 194.4 pts (8.9 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

● Pas de risque structurel identifié par le modèle
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
+4.0 pts
Rest (away / home)
2dvs2d
Net Rating
+2.7vs+9.5
Pace
80.4vs83.2
Rest advantage
Even
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Head-to-Head

3MIN
IND2
02/08/26IND @ MIN100 – 108
09/09/25MIN @ IND72 – 83
24/08/25IND @ MIN84 – 97
22/08/25MIN @ IND95 – 90
01/07/25IND @ MIN74 – 59

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

MIN STAT IND
110.4
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
120.0
106.9
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
107.5
+3.5
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
+12.4
80.1
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
83.3
55.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
61.0%
14.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
11.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was MIN @ IND played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-09-22.

Where can I find the prediction for MIN @ IND?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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