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LAS @ SEA WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
LASLAS
Los Angeles Sparks
Away · 15W-26L
VS
2026-06-10
Climate Pledge Arena · Seattle, WA
SEASEA
Seattle Storm
Home · 8W-33L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 168.5 1.93
Under 168.5 1.88
LAS 1.87 6.5
SEA 1.95 -6.5
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official OVER 168.5
Model confidence98 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+11.2 %
Odds
1.93
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 10/06 à 16:02 — odds at the time: 1.93 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend SEA +6.5
Model confidence63 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.95
Market
Spread

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
98%
Net Rating-0.2 vs -11.9LAS away · SEA home
Pace82.6 vs 80.4possessions / game
Projected total174.2vs line 168.5
Model confidence98%OVER 168.5
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 168.5 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Seattle Storm (8-33) reçoit Los Angeles Sparks (15-26) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

SEA: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
LAS: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Los Angeles Sparks (11.7 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 168.5. Modèle prédit 174.2 pts (11.2 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Pas de risque structurel identifié par le modèle
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
-1.8 pts
Rest (away / home)
3dvs2d
Net Rating
-0.2vs-11.9
Pace
82.6vs80.4
Rest advantage
-1d home
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Head-to-Head

3LAS
SEA2
01/09/25LAS @ SEA91 – 85
10/08/25SEA @ LAS91 – 94
01/08/25LAS @ SEA108 – 106
17/06/25SEA @ LAS98 – 67
15/09/24LAS @ SEA87 – 90

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

LAS STAT SEA
106.2
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
90.0
112.4
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
102.2
-6.2
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-12.2
83.0
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
80.2
55.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
45.0%
17.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
17.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was LAS @ SEA played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-06-10.

Where can I find the prediction for LAS @ SEA?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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