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GSV @ CON WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
GSVGSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away · 29W-11L
VS
2026-08-26
Mohegan Sun Arena · Uncasville, CT
CONCON
Connecticut Sun
Home · 10W-31L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 152.0 1.92
Under 152.0 1.86
GSV 1.91 13.5
CON 1.91 -13.5
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official OVER 152.0
Model confidence96 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+9.0 %
Odds
1.92
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 26/08 à 16:02 — odds at the time: 1.92 (CLV tracking)

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
96%
Net Rating+9.6 vs -12.0GSV away · CON home
Pace76.9 vs 82.1possessions / game
Projected total161.0vs line 152.0
Model confidence96%OVER 152.0
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 152.0 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Connecticut Sun (10-31) reçoit Golden State Valkyries (29-11) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

CON: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
GSV: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Golden State Valkyries (21.5 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 152.0. Modèle prédit 160.9 pts (9.0 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

CON enchaîne un back-to-back, désavantage de fraîcheur
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
+5.5 pts
Rest (away / home)
2dvs1d B2B
Net Rating
+9.6vs-12.0
Pace
76.9vs82.1
Rest advantage
-1d home
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Head-to-Head

4GSV
CON1
10/07/26GSV @ CON79 – 64
25/05/26CON @ GSV70 – 97
11/08/25CON @ GSV57 – 74
27/07/25GSV @ CON64 – 95
22/06/25CON @ GSV63 – 87

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

GSV STAT CON
108.0
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
92.9
102.2
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
109.4
+5.8
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-16.5
77.4
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
83.0
50.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
46.0%
11.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
16.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was GSV @ CON played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-08-26.

Where can I find the prediction for GSV @ CON?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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