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GSV @ PHO WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
GSVGSV
Golden State Valkyries
Away · 29W-11L
VS
2026-07-29
Footprint Center · Phoenix, AZ
PHOPHO
Phoenix Mercury
Home · 15W-26L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 157.0 1.93
Under 157.0 1.89
GSV 1.92 3.5
PHO 1.90 -3.5
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

AI Trend UNDER 157.0
Model confidence91 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.89
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 05/08 à 20:50 — odds at the time: 1.89 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend GSV +3.5
Model confidence64 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.90
Market
Spread

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
91%
Net Rating+12.1 vs -5.1GSV away · PHO home
Pace75.7 vs 81.3possessions / game
Projected total165.0vs line 157.0
Model confidence91%UNDER 157.0
View full analysis

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Phoenix Mercury (15-26) reçoit Golden State Valkyries (29-11) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

PHO: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
GSV: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Golden State Valkyries (17.2 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : tendance OVER la ligne (8.0 pts d'écart), à confirmer.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Pas de risque structurel identifié par le modèle
Verdict Probwin

Pas de pick officiel ProbWin sur ce match. Analyse mécanique uniquement à partir des données du modèle. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
-0.1 pts
Rest (away / home)
9dvs7d
Net Rating
+12.1vs-5.1
Pace
75.7vs81.3
Rest advantage
-2d home
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Head-to-Head

2GSV
PHO3
09/06/26PHO @ GSV81 – 87
10/05/26PHO @ GSV79 – 95
22/08/25GSV @ PHO72 – 81
19/08/25PHO @ GSV98 – 91
14/07/25PHO @ GSV78 – 77

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

GSV STAT PHO
104.6
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
102.5
94.5
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
109.9
+10.1
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-7.4
75.1
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
80.8
52.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
51.0%
14.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
15.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was GSV @ PHO played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-07-29.

Where can I find the prediction for GSV @ PHO?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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