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CHI @ NYL WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
CHICHI
Chicago Sky
Away · 14W-26L
VS
2026-07-22
Barclays Center · Brooklyn, NY
NYLNYL
New York Liberty
Home · 25W-16L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 178.5 1.89
Under 178.5 1.93
CHI 1.90 -8.0
NYL 1.95 8.0
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official OVER 179.5
Model confidence94 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+5.1 %
Odds
1.93
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 22/07 à 16:02 — odds at the time: 1.93 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend NYL -8.0
Model confidence56 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.95
Market
Spread

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
94%
Net Rating+4.0 vs -4.1CHI away · NYL home
Pace84.4 vs 73.2possessions / game
Projected total170.4vs line 178.5
Model confidence94%OVER 179.5
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 179.5 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

New York Liberty (25-16) reçoit Chicago Sky (14-26) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

NYL: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
CHI: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Chicago Sky (8.1 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 179.5. Modèle prédit 170.4 pts (5.1 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Pas de risque structurel identifié par le modèle
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
+2.5 pts
Rest (away / home)
3dvs2d
Net Rating
+4.0vs-4.1
Pace
84.4vs73.2
Rest advantage
-1d home
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Head-to-Head

1CHI
NYL4
17/06/26NYL @ CHI96 – 95
11/09/25NYL @ CHI91 – 86
21/08/25CHI @ NYL91 – 85
10/06/25CHI @ NYL66 – 85
22/05/25NYL @ CHI99 – 74

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

CHI STAT NYL
106.6
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
105.6
106.4
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
108.6
+0.2
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-3.1
84.8
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
73.5
52.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
52.0%
14.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
15.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was CHI @ NYL played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-07-22.

Where can I find the prediction for CHI @ NYL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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