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ATL @ DAL WNBA prediction: AI analysis

WNBA · Regular Season
ATLATL
Atlanta Dream
Away · 27W-14L
VS
2026-05-12
College Park Center · Arlington, TX
DALDAL
Dallas Wings
Home · 25W-16L
Analysis due before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Over 181.0 1.93
Under 181.0 1.88
ATL 1.85 2.0
DAL 1.97 -2.0
Pinnacle odds

Our picks for this match

Official OVER 181.0
Model confidence94 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
+5.3 %
Odds
1.93
Market
Totals O/U
Pick taken on 18/05 à 16:01 — odds at the time: 1.93 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend DAL +2.0
Model confidence40 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
Odds
1.97
Market
Spread

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
94%
Net Rating+13.3 vs -11.7ATL away · DAL home
Pace79.7 vs 82.0possessions / game
Projected total178.9vs line 181.0
Model confidence94%OVER 181.0
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Total: OVER 181.0 Confiance: 65%

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Dallas Wings (25-16) reçoit Atlanta Dream (27-14) en saison régulière WNBA.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

DAL: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi
ATL: rapport de blessure à confirmer avant le coup d'envoi

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread : le modèle penche vers Atlanta Dream (25.0 pts de marge attendue), tendance modérée sans validation officielle.

Total : OVER retenu sur la ligne 181.0. Modèle prédit 178.9 pts (5.3 pts d'edge). En WNBA, le sweet spot du modèle reste l'OVER lorsque l'edge dépasse 5 pts — les résultats live confirment cette force.

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Pas de risque structurel identifié par le modèle
Verdict Probwin

Conviction forte sur le pick OVER : edge largement au-dessus du seuil de 5 pts, sweet spot historique du modèle WNBA. Niveau de risque modéré, à surveiller : rapport de blessures juste avant le coup d'envoi. Analyse générée automatiquement à partir des features ProbWin (rolling 10 matchs, repos, pace, Net Rating). Les jours de match, l'analyse rédigée par notre analyste la remplace en soirée dès qu'elle est disponible.

Key Factors

HCA Edge
+2.1 pts
Rest (away / home)
3dvs3d
Net Rating
+13.3vs-11.7
Pace
79.7vs82.0
Rest advantage
Even
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Head-to-Head

4ATL
DAL1
29/08/25DAL @ ATL78 – 100
30/07/25ATL @ DAL88 – 85
24/06/25ATL @ DAL55 – 68
24/05/25DAL @ ATL75 – 83
06/09/24DAL @ ATL96 – 107

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

6 of 45 model features (last 5-10 games)

ATL STAT DAL
109.2
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
98.4
97.1
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
114.0
+12.2
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
-15.6
78.5
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
81.3
53.0%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
48.0%
12.0%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
13.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was ATL @ DAL played?

This WNBA game was played on 2026-05-12.

Where can I find the prediction for ATL @ DAL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our WNBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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