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Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmann tennis prediction: AI analysis

ATP · Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · Qual. R1
M
Marcos Giron
#89
Last 5 LLLLL
VS
24/10/2026
11:00 (Paris)
Indoor · BO3
Y
Yannick Hanfmann
#58
Last 5 LWLWW
Analysis published before kick-off Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Winner Marcos Giron 2.46
Winner Yannick Hanfmann 1.47
Total Games —
Market odds

Our picks for this match

Official pick Yannick Hanfmann
Model confidence78 %
Odds
1.47
Market
Winner
Taken on 24/10 à 15:38 at odds of 1.47

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Confidence
73%
Elo Indoor1708 vs 1785Marcos Gi… / Yannick H…
Ranking#89 vs #58ATP/WTA
Model probability69%winner
Model probability78%vs 68% implied
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Moneyline: Yannick Hanfmann @ 1.47 — PICK OFFICIEL

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Marcos Giron et Yannick Hanfmann se retrouvent au premier tour des qualifications du Swiss Indoors Basel, sur dur indoor. Le match se joue en 2 sets gagnants, soit trois sets au plus. Leurs trois confrontations directes se sont disputées sur dur, sur dur en salle et sur terre battue.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● Marcos Giron : aucune blessure signalée
● Yannick Hanfmann : aucune blessure signalée

NOTRE ANALYSE

VAINQUEUR (ML) : Yannick Hanfmann impose son jeu par le service. Il gagne 62.8 % de ses points au service sur ses 10 derniers matchs, contre 59.3 % pour Marcos Giron, ce qui lui donne plus de jeux de service tranquilles. Il est aussi devant à l'Elo global (1929 contre 1787) et à l'Elo dur indoor (1714 contre 1692), mais l'écart sur surface est faible. La cote de 1.47 correspond à 68.0 % de probabilité implicite, face à 77.9 % selon notre estimation : nous misons sur Yannick Hanfmann, PICK OFFICIEL.

TOTAL GAMES : aucun pick sur ce marché.

L'avocat du diable

Hanfmann sort de deux défaites, contre Martin Damm 7-5 6-3 puis contre Frances Tiafoe 6-4 6-4. Giron l'a de plus battu le 14 janvier 2025 sur dur, en quatre sets. Nous assumons ce risque, car Hanfmann a gagné les deux confrontations suivantes, dont celle du 6 novembre 2025 sur dur en salle (7-6(3) 6-4).

Verdict Probwin

Nous misons sur Yannick Hanfmann à 1.47 : c'est un PICK OFFICIEL. Indicateur à suivre en début de match : ses premiers jeux de service dans le premier set, qui diront si son service tient face à Giron.

Player Comparison

1773
Overall Elo 1918
1708
Elo Indoor 1785
#89
Ranking #58
LLLLL
Form (L5) LWLWW
1
H2H · 0-2 indoor 3
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Head-to-Head

1-3
24/10/2026
Yannick Hanfmann
6-2 5-7 6-4 Swiss Indoors Basel… indoor_hard
Marcos Giron
23/04/2026
Yannick Hanfmann
6-4 6-7(3) 7-5 Mutua Madrid Open -… clay
Marcos Giron
06/11/2025
Yannick Hanfmann
7-6(3) 6-4 Hellenic Championsh… indoor_hard
Marcos Giron
14/01/2025
Marcos Giron
2-6 7-5 6-1 7-5 Australian Open - M… hard
Yannick Hanfmann

Recent Form

M Marcos Giron
24/10vs Yannick Hanfmann6-2 5-7 6-4Swiss Indoors …L
20/10vs Jan-Lennard Struff7-6(3) 7-6(3)European Open …L
08/10vs Sebastian Baez1-6 6-3 6-4Shanghai Rolex…L
28/09vs Jaume Antoni Munar Clar5-7 6-1 6-4Japan Open Ten…L
02/09vs Ignacio Buse3-6 6-3 6-3 6-7(6) 6-1U.S. Open - Ne…L
Y Yannick Hanfmann
01/11vs Benjamin Bonzi7-5 3-6 6-4Rolex Paris Ma…L
31/10vs Felix Balshaw7-6(3) 6-3Rolex Paris Ma…W
28/10vs Jan-Lennard Struff6-4 6-3Swiss Indoors …L
25/10vs Rinky Hijikata6-4 1-6 6-3Swiss Indoors …W
24/10vs Marcos Giron6-2 5-7 6-4Swiss Indoors …W

Odds Evolution

Frequently asked questions

When was Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmann played?

This tennis game was played on 2026-10-24.

Where can I find the prediction for Marcos Giron vs Yannick Hanfmann?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (match winner), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our tennis statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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