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Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo tennis prediction: AI analysis

ATP · Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
D
Denis Shapovalov
#46
Last 5 WLWWW
VS
03/10/2026
04:00 (Paris)
Hard · BO3
A
Alejandro Tabilo
#31
Last 5 WLLLW
Analysis published before kick-off Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Winner Denis Shapovalov 1.58
Winner Alejandro Tabilo 2.36
Total Games 22.5 O 1.95 / U 1.93
Pinnacle odds

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Le dur extérieur de Tokyo, à vitesse intermédiaire, est une surface qui récompense la capacité à créer le break plutôt que l'ace : ce sont les jeux de retour qui font basculer les matches. Ce premier tour met face à face le gaucher canadien aux angles cassants en revers plat et le Chilien solide du fond, construit sur la constance et la puissance depuis la ligne de fond. Les deux joueurs ne se sont jamais affrontés dans notre base de données.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● Denis Shapovalov : Pas de blessure signalée. Trois de ses cinq résultats récents ont nécessité un troisième set.
● Alejandro Tabilo : Pas de blessure signalée. Deux de ses cinq résultats récents se sont réglés en deux sets.

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Player Comparison

1939
Overall Elo 1928
1842
Elo Hard 1844
#46
Ranking #31

Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker ML P1 ML P2 Totals OVER Totals UNDER
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.58 2.36 1.95@22.5 1.93@22.5
Betclic 1.61 2.28 — —
Unibet 1.60 2.33 — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

When is Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo played?

This tennis game is scheduled for 2026-10-03.

Where can I find a prediction for Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for match winner and total games, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our tennis statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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