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Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi tennis prediction: AI analysis

ATP · Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
C
Carlos Alcaraz
#3
Last 5 WWLWW
VS
03/10/2026
05:30 (Paris)
Hard · BO3
M
Matteo Arnaldi
#37
Last 5 WLLLW
Analysis published before kick-off Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Winner Carlos Alcaraz 1.06
Winner Matteo Arnaldi 11.23
Total Games 18.5 O 1.93 / U 1.96
Pinnacle odds

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Tenant du titre à Tokyo et numéro un mondial en 2026, Carlos Alcaraz entame son tournoi face à l'Italien Matteo Arnaldi. Les deux joueurs se sont déjà affrontés à deux reprises sur dur dans notre base de données.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● Carlos Alcaraz : Pas de blessure signalée. Ses cinq résultats récents comprennent un match disputé en cinq sets.
● Matteo Arnaldi : Pas de blessure signalée. Quatre de ses cinq résultats récents se sont disputés en trois sets ou plus.

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Player Comparison

1962
Overall Elo 1870
1887
Elo Hard 1676
#3
Ranking #37

Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker ML P1 ML P2 Totals OVER Totals UNDER
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.06 11.23 1.93@18.5 1.96@18.5
Betclic 1.04 9.80 — —
Unibet 1.04 11.00 — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

When is Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi played?

This tennis game is scheduled for 2026-10-03.

Where can I find a prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for match winner and total games, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our tennis statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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