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Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta tennis prediction: AI analysis

ATP · China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
D
Daniil Medvedev
#6
Last 5 WWWWL
VS
02/10/2026
09:05 (Paris)
Hard · BO3
P
Pablo Carreno-Busta
#66
Last 5 WWLLL
Analysis published before kick-off Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Winner Daniil Medvedev 1.27
Winner Pablo Carreno-Bus… 3.72
Total Games 21.0 O 1.93 / U 1.94
Pinnacle odds

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Medvedev et Carreno-Busta se retrouvent sur le dur de Beijing pour une nouvelle confrontation dans un H2H construit principalement sur surfaces rapides et gazon, selon les six entrées répertoriées dans notre base. Onzième et 105e mondiaux respectivement, les deux hommes traversent des phases de carrière très différentes au moment d'aborder cette China Open, l'un des tournois-phares du swing asiatique.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● Daniil Medvedev : Pas de blessure signalée. Classé 11e mondial, cinq victoires lors de ses cinq derniers matchs.
● Pablo Carreno-Busta : Pas de blessure signalée. Classé 105e mondial, bilan saison de 7 victoires pour 9 défaites.

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Player Comparison

2026
Overall Elo 1910
1989
Elo Hard 1801
#6
Ranking #66

Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker ML P1 ML P2 Totals OVER Totals UNDER
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.27 3.72 1.93@21.0 1.94@21.0
Betclic 1.05 15.00 — —
Unibet 1.04 10.00 — —
1xBet 1.24 4.33 2.00@21.5 1.86@21.5

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

When is Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta played?

This tennis game is scheduled for 2026-10-02.

Where can I find a prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for match winner and total games, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our tennis statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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