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Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov tennis prediction: AI analysis

ATP · Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Qual. R3
S
Shintaro Mochizuki
#125
Last 5 WLLLW
VS
23/09/2026
08:35 (Paris)
Hard · BO3
P
Pavel Kotov
#188
Last 5 WLWWW
Analysis published before kick-off Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Winner Shintaro Mochizuki 1.75
Winner Pavel Kotov 1.94
Total Games
Pinnacle odds

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Premier tour du Chengdu Open sur surface dure, un tournoi disputé à haute altitude qui peut légèrement perturber les repères tactiles, notamment sur le service. La confrontation met en présence deux joueurs au profil contrasté : Mochizuki, mieux classé au classement ATP, face à Kotov, dont les indicateurs de performance récents sur dur racontent une histoire différente des seuls chiffres de classement.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

Shintaro Mochizuki : Pas de blessure signalée. Sa forme récente sur les cinq derniers matchs affiche des sets serrés avec plusieurs tie-breaks, signe d'un joueur qui gagne sans toujours dominer.
Pavel Kotov : Pas de blessure signalée. Ses cinq derniers matchs montrent une constance dans les scores, avec des victoires nettes (6-0 6-3) alternant avec des rencontres plus disputées, et un tie-break maîtrisé à plusieurs reprises.

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Player Comparison

1798
Overall Elo 1826
1691
Elo Hard 1791
#125
Ranking #188
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Frequently asked questions

When is Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov played?

This tennis game is scheduled for 2026-09-23.

Where can I find a prediction for Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for match winner and total games, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our tennis statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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