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Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov tennis prediction: AI analysis

ATP · Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Qual. R1
L
Luca Castelnuovo
#376
Last 5 LWLWW
VS
22/09/2026
09:40 (Paris)
Hard · BO3
P
Pavel Kotov
#188
Last 5 LWWWW
Analysis published before kick-off Timestamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Winner Luca Castelnuovo 3.84
Winner Pavel Kotov 1.21
Total Games
Market odds

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

La surface dure de Chengdu met face à face deux joueurs aux parcours 2026 très distincts. Pavel Kotov a accumulé trois titres Challenger cette saison, dont un sur dur en Asie, et s'appuie sur une constance établie à ce niveau de compétition. Luca Castelnuovo (#438 ATP) arrive après une série de victoires construites sur le circuit ITF, face à des adversaires classés entre #398 et #731.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

Castelnuovo : aucune blessure signalée ; 5 victoires en 5 matchs récents, dont une obtenue sur abandon adverse.
Kotov : aucune blessure signalée ; 5 victoires en 5 matchs récents, toutes remportées en deux sets.

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Player Comparison

1697
Overall Elo 1826
1690
Elo Hard 1791
#376
Ranking #188
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Frequently asked questions

When is Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov played?

This tennis game is scheduled for 2026-09-22.

Where can I find a prediction for Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for match winner and total games, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our tennis statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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