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Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction: AI analysis & odds

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MINMinnesota United
Minnesota United
Home
★Follow
Last 5 W W D W D
VS
08/11/2026
Kick-off 01:00 Paris time
SANSan Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
Away
★Follow
Last 5 W D L D D
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 5 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
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AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Minnesota United-San Jose Earthquakes score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 K. Rizvanovich — Minnesota United · Concussion
  • 🩹 P. Stroud — Minnesota United · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 W. Trapp — Minnesota United · Concussion
  • 🩹 N. Adimabua — San Jose Earthquakes · Hernia
  • 🩹 D. Johnson — San Jose Earthquakes · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 D. Jones — San Jose Earthquakes · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • 🩹 J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza — San Jose Earthquakes · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 T. Werner — San Jose Earthquakes · Red Card
  • 🩹 A. Smir — Minnesota United · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 B. Kikanovic — San Jose Earthquakes · Lower-Body Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

San Jose Earthquakes STAT Minnesota United
1.07
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.92
1.38
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.39
1.78
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.42
1.0
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.0
1.6
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.4
3.2
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
6.4
1.20
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.20
50.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
90.0%
80.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
90.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
10.0%
4
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
9
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota UnitedHOM
Nov. 2, 2026Los Angeles FC - Minnesota Uni…1 - 3W
Oct. 29, 2026Minnesota Uni… - Sporting Kans…3 - 1W
Oct. 25, 2026Houston Dynamo - Minnesota Uni…0 - 0D
Oct. 17, 2026Minnesota Uni… - St. Louis City3 - 2W
Oct. 15, 2026Colorado Rapi… - Minnesota Uni…2 - 2D
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesAWY
Oct. 31, 2026San Jose Eart… - Real Salt Lake2 - 1W
Oct. 29, 2026San Jose Eart… - Colorado Rapi…2 - 2D
Oct. 25, 2026FC Dallas - San Jose Eart…3 - 0L
Oct. 18, 2026San Jose Eart… - Nashville SC1 - 1D
Oct. 15, 2026Real Salt Lake - San Jose Eart…1 - 1D

Head-to-Head

23/08/26San Jose Earthquakes — Minnesota United1 – 5
13/07/25Minnesota United — San Jose Earthquakes4 – 1
09/03/25San Jose Earthquakes — Minnesota United0 – 1
01/09/24San Jose Earthquakes — Minnesota United1 – 2
21/07/24Minnesota United — San Jose Earthquakes2 – 0
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Minnesota United – San Jose Earthquakes ?

Le match se joue le 08/11/2026 à 01:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Minnesota United – San Jose Earthquakes ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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