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IFK Goteborg vs Malmo FF prediction: AI analysis & odds

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IFKIFK Goteborg
IFK Goteborg
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L D D D W
VS
08/11/2026
Kick-off 14:00 Paris time
MALMalmo FF
Malmo FF
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L W D L W
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 4 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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IFK Goteborg-Malmo FF score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 A. Bergmark-Wiberg — IFK Goteborg · Inactive
  • 🩹 A. Erlingmark — IFK Goteborg · Inactive
  • 🩹 A. Jallow — IFK Goteborg · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 R. Lundqvist — IFK Goteborg · Inactive
  • 🩹 A. Mucolli — IFK Goteborg · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 I. Assibu — Malmo FF · Inactive
  • 🩹 K. Busuladzic — Malmo FF · Injury
  • 🩹 A. Hoog — Malmo FF · Inactive
  • 🩹 P. Jansson — Malmo FF · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 N. John — Malmo FF · Inactive
  • 🩹 W. Kamanzi — Malmo FF · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 T. Lundbergh — Malmo FF · Yellow Cards

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Malmo FF STAT IFK Goteborg
2.07
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.60
1.11
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.15
1.87
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.72
1.0
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.0
0.8
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.8
6.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.6
1.20
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
1.60
40.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
30.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
50.0%
40.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
40.0%
7
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
13
IFK GoteborgIFK GoteborgHOM
Nov. 1, 2026BK Hacken - IFK Goteborg1 - 0L
Oct. 28, 2026IFK Goteborg - Djurgardens IF1 - 1D
Oct. 25, 2026Gais - IFK Goteborg1 - 1D
Oct. 17, 2026AIK Stockholm - IFK Goteborg2 - 2D
Oct. 9, 2026IFK Goteborg - Vasteras SK FK1 - 0W
Malmo FFMalmo FFAWY
Nov. 1, 2026Malmo FF - Hammarby FF1 - 2L
Oct. 28, 2026Halmstad - Malmo FF0 - 3W
Oct. 23, 2026IF Elfsborg - Malmo FF0 - 0D
Oct. 18, 2026Malmo FF - BK Hacken0 - 1L
Oct. 12, 2026Malmo FF - Kalmar FF1 - 0W

Head-to-Head

12/07/26Malmo FF — IFK Goteborg4 – 0
24/08/25Malmo FF — IFK Goteborg0 – 0
25/05/25IFK Goteborg — Malmo FF1 – 0
28/10/24Malmo FF — IFK Goteborg2 – 1
13/05/24IFK Goteborg — Malmo FF0 – 3
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue IFK Goteborg – Malmo FF ?

Le match se joue le 08/11/2026 à 14:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour IFK Goteborg – Malmo FF ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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