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Houston Dynamo vs St. Louis City prediction: AI analysis & odds

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HOUHouston Dynamo
Houston Dynamo
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L W D D D
VS
08/11/2026
Kick-off 01:00 Paris time
ST.St. Louis City
St. Louis City
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L L L L D
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 5 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Houston Dynamo-St. Louis City score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 J. Maurer — Houston Dynamo · Back Injury
  • 🩹 M. Saracchi — Houston Dynamo · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 Felipe Andrade — Houston Dynamo · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 Guilherme — Houston Dynamo · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 H. Herrera — Houston Dynamo · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 R. Burki — St. Louis City · Concussion
  • 🩹 Celio Pompeu — St. Louis City · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 A. Matan — St. Louis City · Leg Injury
  • 🩹 T. Ostrak — St. Louis City · Red Card
  • 🩹 K. Hiebert — St. Louis City · Hip Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

St. Louis City STAT Houston Dynamo
1.44
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.01
2.31
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.96
1.69
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.17
2.0
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.6
2.2
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.4
4.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
2.8
2.00
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
1.20
90.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
70.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
50.0%
20.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
30.0%
4
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
7
Houston DynamoHouston DynamoHOM
Nov. 2, 2026Portland Timb… - Houston Dynamo3 - 1L
Oct. 29, 2026Seattle Sound… - Houston Dynamo0 - 1W
Oct. 25, 2026Houston Dynamo - Minnesota Uni…0 - 0D
Oct. 18, 2026Houston Dynamo - FC Dallas2 - 2D
Oct. 15, 2026San Diego FC - Houston Dynamo3 - 3D
St. Louis CitySt. Louis CityAWY
Oct. 31, 2026St. Louis City - San Diego FC0 - 1L
Oct. 29, 2026St. Louis City - Portland Timb…2 - 3L
Oct. 25, 2026Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City3 - 0L
Oct. 17, 2026Minnesota Uni… - St. Louis City3 - 2L
Oct. 15, 2026St. Louis City - Vancouver Whi…0 - 0D

Head-to-Head

23/08/26St. Louis City — Houston Dynamo2 – 1
31/08/25St. Louis City — Houston Dynamo2 – 3
29/06/25Houston Dynamo — St. Louis City1 – 0
06/10/24St. Louis City — Houston Dynamo3 – 0
05/05/24Houston Dynamo — St. Louis City0 – 0
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Houston Dynamo – St. Louis City ?

Le match se joue le 08/11/2026 à 01:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Houston Dynamo – St. Louis City ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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