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Cagliari Calcio vs Frosinone Calcio prediction: AI analysis & odds

Serie A → standings & predictions
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CAGCagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L L L L D
VS
07/11/2026
Kick-off 15:00 Paris time
FROFrosinone Calcio
Frosinone Calcio
Away
★Follow
Last 5 W W D W L
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 2 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒 Members only
🔒
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒 Members only
🔒
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒 Members only
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒 Members only
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒 Members only
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒 Members only
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒 Members only
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Cagliari Calcio-Frosinone Calcio score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 Riyad Idrissi — Cagliari Calcio · Jumpers Knee
  • 🩹 F. Grillitsch — Frosinone Calcio · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 M. Felici — Cagliari Calcio · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 R. Idrissi — Cagliari Calcio · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 H. Winks — Cagliari Calcio · Back Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Frosinone Calcio STAT Cagliari Calcio
2.16
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.38
2.54
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
2.12
1.54
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
0.90
3.0
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.8
2.0
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.2
7.2
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
3.6
1.80
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
0.80
60.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
40.0%
50.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
40.0%
20.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
30.0%
10
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
4
Cagliari CalcioCagliari CalcioHOM
Nov. 1, 2026SS Lazio - Cagliari Calc…2 - 1L
Oct. 27, 2026AS Roma - Cagliari Calc…4 - 2L
Oct. 24, 2026Cagliari Calc… - Bologna FC0 - 2L
Oct. 19, 2026AC Monza - Cagliari Calc…4 - 0L
Oct. 11, 2026Cagliari Calc… - Juventus1 - 1D
Frosinone CalcioFrosinone CalcioAWY
Nov. 1, 2026Frosinone Cal… - Torino FC2 - 0W
Oct. 29, 2026Frosinone Cal… - US Lecce5 - 1W
Oct. 25, 2026Atalanta BC - Frosinone Cal…4 - 4D
Oct. 16, 2026Frosinone Cal… - US Sassuolo4 - 2W
Oct. 10, 2026SSC Napoli - Frosinone Cal…3 - 0L

Head-to-Head

23/09/25Cagliari Calcio — Frosinone Calcio4 – 1
21/01/24Frosinone Calcio — Cagliari Calcio3 – 1
29/10/23Cagliari Calcio — Frosinone Calcio4 – 3
15/04/23Cagliari Calcio — Frosinone Calcio0 – 0
27/11/22Frosinone Calcio — Cagliari Calcio2 – 2
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Cagliari Calcio – Frosinone Calcio ?

Le match se joue le 07/11/2026 à 15:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Cagliari Calcio – Frosinone Calcio ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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