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Manchester United vs AS Roma prediction: AI analysis & odds

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MANManchester United
Manchester United
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L L L D L
VS
03/11/2026
Kick-off 21:00 Paris time
AS AS Roma
AS Roma
Away
★Follow
Last 5 W W D W W
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

3 markets analyzed
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 2.29X @ 4.112 @ 2.86
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
+2.5 @ 1.49-2.5 @ 2.64
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
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How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

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Manchester United-AS Roma score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

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GAME CONTEXT

Manchester United, the host in this league-phase fixture, lost 0-2 away at Chelsea, 0-3 at home against AFC Bournemouth, 1-4 away at Como 1907 and 0-2 away at Atletico Madrid. Manchester United drew 1-1 away at Leeds United. AS Roma, the visitor, won 5-2 away at Udinese Calcio, 4-2 at home against Cagliari Calcio, 4-0 at home against Slovan Bratislava and 2-0 at home against Genoa CFC. AS Roma drew 3-3 away at SSC Napoli.

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Absences

  • 🩹 P. Dorgu — Manchester United · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 B. Sesko — Manchester United · Leg Injury
  • 🩹 L. Shaw — Manchester United · Injury
  • 🩹 M. Ugarte — Manchester United · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 A. Diallo — Manchester United · Injury
  • 🩹 M. Rashford — Manchester United · Hip Injury
  • 🩹 P. Dybala — AS Roma · Calf Injury
  • 🩹 M. Kone — AS Roma · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 L. Pellegrini — AS Roma · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 M. Svilar — AS Roma · Toe Injury

Form & Stats

Manchester UnitedManchester UnitedHOM
Oct. 31, 2026Chelsea - Manchester Un…2 - 0L
Oct. 25, 2026Manchester Un… - AFC Bournemou…0 - 3L
Oct. 21, 2026Como 1907 - Manchester Un…4 - 1L
Oct. 18, 2026Leeds United - Manchester Un…1 - 1D
Oct. 13, 2026Atletico Madr… - Manchester Un…2 - 0L
AS RomaAS RomaAWY
Oct. 31, 2026Udinese Calcio - AS Roma2 - 5W
Oct. 27, 2026AS Roma - Cagliari Calc…4 - 2W
Oct. 24, 2026SSC Napoli - AS Roma3 - 3D
Oct. 20, 2026AS Roma - Slovan Bratis…4 - 0W
Oct. 17, 2026AS Roma - Genoa CFC2 - 0W

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 O 2.5U 2.5 O 1.5U 1.5 O 3.5U 3.5 BTTS yesBTTS no 1X12X2 DNB 1DNB 2
Pinnacle 2.29 4.11 2.86 1.49 2.64 — — 2.21 1.67 — — — — — — —
Bet365 2.25 4.00 2.75 1.50 2.62 1.14 5.50 2.20 1.67 1.44 2.62 1.40 1.22 1.67 1.67 2.10
1xBet 2.32 4.12 2.94 1.49 2.61 1.13 5.38 2.30 1.72 1.42 2.69 1.46 1.28 1.68 — —
William Hill 2.20 3.80 2.80 — — — — — — 1.44 2.70 1.40 1.25 1.62 1.67 2.10
Betfair 2.25 4.00 2.80 1.44 2.63 1.11 6.00 2.20 1.62 1.45 2.80 1.40 1.20 1.62 1.65 2.10
Marathonbet 2.28 4.05 2.89 1.46 2.56 1.10 5.25 2.23 1.67 1.42 2.65 1.45 1.27 1.68 — —
Betano 2.32 4.10 2.85 1.52 2.62 1.17 5.20 2.27 1.67 1.45 2.60 1.47 1.25 1.65 1.72 2.05
BetVictor 2.25 3.90 2.80 1.46 2.47 1.13 5.50 2.10 1.63 1.40 2.70 1.40 1.22 1.57 1.67 2.10
Dafabet 2.33 3.95 2.80 — — — — — — — — — — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Manchester United – AS Roma ?

Le match se joue le 03/11/2026 à 21:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Manchester United – AS Roma ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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