Olympique Lyon vs Angers SCO prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Olympique Lyon-Angers SCO score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Olympique Lyon sit 5th in the table. Over their last 5 matches they have 10 points from 15, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 0.8 per game. Angers SCO sit 14th. Over their last 5 matches they have 4 points from 15, scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 2.4 per game.
TOTALS ANALYSIS (Over/Under)
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.64: our lean is over 2.5. Our model expects 2.38 goals from Olympique Lyon and 0.87 from Angers SCO, 3.25 in total. Olympique Lyon have gone over 2.5 goals in 70% of their last 10 matches, Angers SCO in 50%, and recent xG created for the two attacks combined reaches 3.43. The model probability is 63.0%, verified over two test seasons in this league: proof the probability is reliable, not an edge over the price.
Over 1.5 goals @ 1.18: this line loses at 0 or 1 goal. Our model puts it at 82.2%, and the implied probability of the price is higher. It does not pay this scenario.
Under 3.5 goals @ 1.61: the line loses at 4 goals or more. Our model leans to it at 60.7%, but the price does not pay this scenario. Alongside over 2.5, it only wins at exactly 3 goals, a narrow outcome.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Home win @ 1.44: the market clearly makes Olympique Lyon favorites, with the draw at 18.3% (no-margin probabilities). Our model gives Olympique Lyon 70.9%, the draw 16.9% and Angers SCO 12.2%. Recent xG created shows a modest gap in Olympique Lyon's favor, so the model probability stands. Our lean is an Olympique Lyon win, a verified probability.
Home draw no bet @ 1.16: the stake is returned on a draw and lost on an Angers SCO win. Our model gives this line 85.3%, and the price does not pay this scenario.
Double chance 1X (home or draw) @ 1.12: the line wins if Olympique Lyon do not lose, two outcomes out of three. Our model puts it at 87.8% and the price does not pay this scenario.
OTHER MARKETS
Both teams to score: yes @ 1.80: Angers SCO failed to score in 38% of their last 10 matches, Olympique Lyon in 25%. Our lean is this market, with a model probability of 55.6% equal to the implied probability: the displayed edge is +0.0 points.
The scenario that sinks an Olympique Lyon win: the club failed to score in 25% of their last 10 matches, and a closed game would leave room for a draw. We accept this risk because Olympique Lyon score 2.0 goals per game over their last 5 matches.
Our lean is an Olympique Lyon win, with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score: yes as companion reads. These are model leans, not firm bets.
Absences
- 🩹 T. Morton — Olympique Lyon · Groin Injury
- 🩹 S. Kango — Olympique Lyon · Concussion
- 🩹 L. Openda — Olympique Lyon · Leg Injury
- 🩹 M. Ouedraogo — Olympique Lyon · Knee Injury
- 🩹 P. Sulc — Olympique Lyon · Knee Injury
- 🩹 N. Tagliafico — Olympique Lyon · Muscle Injury
- 🩹 B. Diatta — Angers SCO · Ankle Injury
- 🩹 E. Biumla — Angers SCO · Knee Injury
- 🩹 A. El Ouazzani — Angers SCO · Injury
- 🩹 K. Nakamura — Olympique Lyon · Red Card
- 🩹 A. Hamdani — Olympique Lyon · Inactive
- 🩹 H. Belkebla — Angers SCO · Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)
Angers SCO
STAT
Olympique Lyon
Olympique LyonHOMAngers SCOAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Olympique Lyon – Angers SCO ?
Le match se joue le 01/11/2026 à 17:15 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Olympique Lyon – Angers SCO ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
