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Le Havre AC vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction: AI analysis & odds

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LE Le Havre AC
Le Havre AC
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L L L L D
VS
30/10/2026
Kick-off 19:00 Paris time
PARParis Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain
Away
★Follow
Last 5 W W W W W
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 4 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Le Havre AC-Paris Saint-Germain score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 O. Dembele — Paris Saint-Germain · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 K. Kvaratskhelia — Paris Saint-Germain · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 Marquinhos — Paris Saint-Germain · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 N. Mendes — Paris Saint-Germain · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 A. Longoni — Paris Saint-Germain · Injury
  • 🩹 F. Mambimbi — Le Havre AC · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • 🩹 L. Mpasi-Nzau — Le Havre AC · Achilles Tendon Injury
  • 🩹 A. Toure — Le Havre AC · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 S. Zagadou — Le Havre AC · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 E. Jelert — Le Havre AC · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 T. Pembele — Le Havre AC · Muscle Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Paris Saint-Germain STAT Le Havre AC
2.72
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.70
1.26
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.79
2.48
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
2.10
1.8
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.8
1.2
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.8
7.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.0
1.60
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
0.40
70.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
30.0%
70.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
50.0%
30.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
20.0%
10
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
1
Le Havre ACLe Havre ACHOM
Oct. 25, 2026Olympique Mar… - Le Havre AC4 - 3L
Oct. 18, 2026Le Havre AC - AJ Auxerre1 - 3L
Oct. 10, 2026Lille OSC - Le Havre AC1 - 0L
Sept. 19, 2026Toulouse FC - Le Havre AC3 - 2L
Sept. 12, 2026Le Havre AC - Angers SCO0 - 0D
Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-GermainAWY
Oct. 26, 2026Paris Saint-G… - Olympique Lyon2 - 0W
Oct. 20, 2026Paris Saint-G… - Barcelona4 - 2W
Oct. 17, 2026RC Strasbourg - Paris Saint-G…1 - 3W
Oct. 14, 2026Manchester Ci… - Paris Saint-G…2 - 4W
Oct. 10, 2026Paris Saint-G… - Le Mans3 - 1W

Head-to-Head

28/02/26Le Havre AC — Paris Saint-Germain0 – 1
22/11/25Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre AC3 – 0
19/04/25Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre AC2 – 1
16/08/24Le Havre AC — Paris Saint-Germain1 – 4
27/04/24Paris Saint-Germain — Le Havre AC3 – 3
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Le Havre AC – Paris Saint-Germain ?

Le match se joue le 30/10/2026 à 19:00 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Le Havre AC – Paris Saint-Germain ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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