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Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City prediction: AI analysis & odds

AI Trend 🔒 Members only — 7-day free trial
MINMinnesota United
Minnesota United
Home
★Follow
Last 5 D W D D L
VS
29/10/2026
Kick-off 01:30 Paris time
SPOSporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L L L D L
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 5 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 1.41X @ 5.252 @ 6.34
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
+2.5 @ 1.34-2.5 @ 3.24
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
Yes @ 1.48No @ 2.50
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Minnesota United-Sporting Kansas City score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 A. Smir — Minnesota United · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 P. Stroud — Minnesota United · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 W. Trapp — Minnesota United · Concussion
  • 🩹 O. Blorian — Sporting Kansas City · Chest Injury
  • 🩹 Diego Borges — Sporting Kansas City · Groin Injury
  • 🩹 M. Mosquera — Sporting Kansas City · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 J. Reynolds — Sporting Kansas City · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 L. Johnsen — Sporting Kansas City · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 S. Reid — Sporting Kansas City · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 O. Wolff — Sporting Kansas City · Muscle Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Sporting Kansas City STAT Minnesota United
1.28
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
2.00
1.82
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.96
1.26
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.09
1.4
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.0
2.4
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.4
4.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.2
1.40
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.20
90.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
100.0%
70.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
100.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
0.0%
4
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
5
Minnesota UnitedMinnesota UnitedHOM
Oct. 25, 2026Houston Dynamo - Minnesota Uni…0 - 0D
Oct. 17, 2026Minnesota Uni… - St. Louis City3 - 2W
Oct. 15, 2026Colorado Rapi… - Minnesota Uni…2 - 2D
Oct. 11, 2026Minnesota Uni… - Houston Dynamo2 - 2D
Sept. 27, 2026Seattle Sound… - Minnesota Uni…3 - 1L
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityAWY
Oct. 25, 2026Sporting Kans… - Austin FC1 - 2L
Oct. 18, 2026Sporting Kans… - Real Salt Lake1 - 3L
Oct. 15, 2026Nashville SC - Sporting Kans…4 - 0L
Oct. 11, 2026Sporting Kans… - Portland Timb…3 - 3D
Oct. 2, 2026Seattle Sound… - Sporting Kans…2 - 1L

Head-to-Head

23/07/26Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United2 – 1
05/10/25Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City3 – 0
16/03/25Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United3 – 3
22/09/24Sporting Kansas City — Minnesota United0 – 2
02/06/24Minnesota United — Sporting Kansas City3 – 1

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 O 2.5U 2.5 O 1.5U 1.5 O 3.5U 3.5 BTTS yesBTTS no 1X12X2 DNB 1DNB 2
Pinnacle 1.41 5.25 6.34 1.34 3.24 1.10 6.98 1.89 1.94 — — — — — — —
Bet365 1.42 5.00 6.50 1.33 3.40 1.08 8.00 1.83 1.83 1.50 2.50 1.10 1.17 2.75 1.14 5.50
William Hill 1.40 4.80 5.80 — — — — — — 1.44 2.50 1.12 1.18 2.62 1.17 4.60
Betfair 1.36 5.00 6.50 1.33 3.25 1.07 8.00 1.87 1.90 1.50 2.55 1.08 1.13 2.88 1.11 5.50
Marathonbet 1.39 5.15 6.20 1.28 3.05 1.05 6.60 1.84 1.90 1.47 2.46 1.10 1.14 2.82 — —
Betano 1.45 5.10 6.10 1.37 3.10 1.12 6.50 1.93 1.93 1.50 2.45 1.15 1.17 2.82 1.19 4.40
BetVictor 1.40 5.00 6.50 1.30 3.25 1.06 7.50 1.81 1.86 1.44 2.55 1.13 1.09 2.80 1.15 4.80
Dafabet 1.44 5.40 6.20 — — — — — — — — — — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Minnesota United – Sporting Kansas City ?

Le match se joue le 29/10/2026 à 01:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Minnesota United – Sporting Kansas City ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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