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Parma Calcio vs Udinese Calcio prediction: AI analysis & odds

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PARParma Calcio
Parma Calcio
Home
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Last 5 L L L W L
VS
28/10/2026
Kick-off 18:30 Paris time
UDIUdinese Calcio
Udinese Calcio
Away
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Last 5 L L L L L
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 2 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 3.03X @ 3.192 @ 2.57
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
+2.5 @ 2.29-2.5 @ 1.68
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
Yes @ 1.85No @ 1.87
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Parma Calcio-Udinese Calcio score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

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GAME CONTEXT

Parma Calcio took 4 points from 15 over their last 5 matches. The club scores 0.8 goals per game and concedes 2.0 over that stretch. Udinese Calcio have 3 points from 15 over their last 5 matches. The club scores 1.6 goals per game and concedes 2.4.

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Absences

  • 🩹 P. Almqvist — Parma Calcio · Calf Injury
  • 🩹 N. Elphege — Parma Calcio · Illness
  • 🩹 H. Nicolussi Caviglia — Parma Calcio · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 L. Valenti — Parma Calcio · Coach's decision
  • 🩹 D. Alaba — Udinese Calcio · Calf Injury
  • 🩹 V. Bayo — Udinese Calcio · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 I. Gueye — Udinese Calcio · Ankle Injury
  • 🩹 A. Zanoli — Udinese Calcio · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 O. Solet — Udinese Calcio · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 N. Zaniolo — Udinese Calcio · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 A. Ndiaye — Parma Calcio · Knock
  • 🩹 J. Piotrowski — Udinese Calcio · Heart Problems

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Udinese Calcio STAT Parma Calcio
1.02
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
0.88
2.42
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.96
0.92
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
0.51
1.0
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.8
2.6
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.0
3.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
3.8
1.80
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
0.80
50.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
50.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
40.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
10.0%
0
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
4
Parma CalcioParma CalcioHOM
Oct. 24, 2026SS Lazio - Parma Calcio2 - 1L
Oct. 19, 2026Parma Calcio - Torino FC0 - 3L
Oct. 10, 2026Inter Milan - Parma Calcio3 - 0L
Sept. 20, 2026Parma Calcio - Genoa CFC2 - 1W
Sept. 14, 2026Como 1907 - Parma Calcio2 - 1L
Udinese CalcioUdinese CalcioAWY
Oct. 25, 2026Udinese Calcio - AC Milan0 - 2L
Oct. 18, 2026Udinese Calcio - US Lecce0 - 3L
Oct. 12, 2026Torino FC - Udinese Calcio2 - 1L
Sept. 19, 2026Udinese Calcio - Cagliari Calc…0 - 1L
Sept. 14, 2026Inter Milan - Udinese Calcio5 - 3L

Head-to-Head

18/04/26Udinese Calcio — Parma Calcio0 – 1
29/11/25Parma Calcio — Udinese Calcio0 – 2
01/03/25Udinese Calcio — Parma Calcio1 – 0
16/09/24Parma Calcio — Udinese Calcio2 – 3

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 O 2.5U 2.5 O 1.5U 1.5 O 3.5U 3.5 BTTS yesBTTS no 1X12X2 DNB 1DNB 2
Pinnacle 3.03 3.19 2.57 2.29 1.68 1.39 3.09 — — — — — — — — —
Bet365 2.90 3.20 2.50 2.20 1.67 1.36 3.20 4.00 1.25 1.91 1.91 1.50 1.36 1.40 2.00 1.73
1xBet 3.17 3.28 2.53 2.24 1.76 1.37 3.02 3.82 1.26 1.83 1.89 1.58 1.39 1.41 — —
William Hill 2.90 3.00 2.45 — — — — — — 1.85 1.91 1.55 1.35 1.36 2.05 1.70
Betfair 3.00 3.10 2.60 2.15 1.67 1.40 2.88 4.33 1.20 1.87 1.87 1.50 1.33 1.33 2.10 1.65
Marathonbet 3.08 3.18 2.46 2.17 1.70 1.33 2.94 3.70 1.22 1.83 1.87 1.57 1.37 1.39 — —
Betano 2.92 3.20 2.55 2.22 1.70 1.42 3.00 3.95 1.25 1.87 1.87 1.55 1.34 1.44 2.00 1.75
BetVictor 2.88 3.13 2.45 2.08 1.64 1.38 2.73 4.20 1.20 1.83 1.85 1.50 1.30 1.36 2.00 1.73
Dafabet 2.95 3.20 2.55 — — — — — — — — — — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Parma Calcio – Udinese Calcio ?

Le match se joue le 28/10/2026 à 18:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Parma Calcio – Udinese Calcio ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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