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AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio prediction: AI analysis & odds

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AS AS Roma
AS Roma
Home
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Last 5 D W W L D
VS
27/10/2026
Kick-off 20:45 Paris time
CAGCagliari Calcio
Cagliari Calcio
Away
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Last 5 L L D W W
Analysis published before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 2 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
1 @ 1.35X @ 5.022 @ 10.30
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
+2.5 @ 1.67-2.5 @ 2.29
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
Yes @ 1.95No @ 1.78
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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AS Roma-Cagliari Calcio score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

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GAME CONTEXT

AS Roma has 11 points from 15 over its last 5 matches. The club scores 2.0 goals per game and concedes 0.6 over that stretch. Cagliari Calcio has 10 points from 15 over its last 5 matches. The club scores 1.0 goal per game and concedes 0.6.

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Absences

  • 🩹 Riyad Idrissi — Cagliari Calcio · Jumpers Knee
  • 🩹 M. Svilar — AS Roma · Toe Injury
  • 🩹 M. Felici — Cagliari Calcio · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 R. Idrissi — Cagliari Calcio · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 Y. Trepy — Cagliari Calcio · Injury
  • 🩹 H. Winks — Cagliari Calcio · Back Injury
  • 🩹 M. Bah — AS Roma · Jumpers Knee
  • 🩹 P. Dybala — AS Roma · Calf Injury
  • 🩹 M. Kone — AS Roma · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 L. Pellegrini — AS Roma · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 B. Cristante — AS Roma · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 D. Malen — AS Roma · Red Card

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Cagliari Calcio STAT AS Roma
1.34
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.81
1.65
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.16
1.38
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.85
1.0
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.6
1.2
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.6
4.6
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.2
1.20
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.40
40.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
50.0%
40.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
30.0%
30.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
70.0%
10
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
11
AS RomaAS RomaHOM
Oct. 24, 2026SSC Napoli - AS Roma3 - 3D
Oct. 20, 2026AS Roma - Slovan Bratis…4 - 0W
Oct. 17, 2026AS Roma - Genoa CFC2 - 0W
Oct. 14, 2026AS Roma - Real Madrid3 - 4L
Oct. 11, 2026Como 1907 - AS Roma0 - 0D
Cagliari CalcioCagliari CalcioAWY
Oct. 24, 2026Cagliari Calc… - Bologna FC0 - 2L
Oct. 19, 2026AC Monza - Cagliari Calc…4 - 0L
Oct. 11, 2026Cagliari Calc… - Juventus1 - 1D
Sept. 19, 2026Udinese Calcio - Cagliari Calc…0 - 1W
Sept. 12, 2026Atalanta BC - Cagliari Calc…1 - 2W

Head-to-Head

09/02/26AS Roma — Cagliari Calcio2 – 0
07/12/25Cagliari Calcio — AS Roma1 – 0
16/03/25AS Roma — Cagliari Calcio1 – 0
18/08/24Cagliari Calcio — AS Roma0 – 0
05/02/24AS Roma — Cagliari Calcio4 – 0

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker 1X2 O 2.5U 2.5 O 1.5U 1.5 O 3.5U 3.5 BTTS yesBTTS no 1X12X2 DNB 1DNB 2
Pinnacle 1.35 5.02 10.30 1.67 2.29 — — 2.69 1.50 — — — — — — —
Bet365 1.33 4.75 9.50 1.67 2.20 1.20 4.50 2.62 1.50 2.05 1.70 1.07 1.17 3.25 1.08 8.00
1xBet 1.38 5.26 9.65 1.72 2.31 1.20 4.36 2.61 1.50 1.95 1.78 1.08 1.20 3.28 — —
William Hill 1.35 4.60 8.50 — — — — — — 2.00 1.75 1.07 1.18 3.10 1.10 7.00
Betfair 1.33 5.00 9.50 1.62 2.25 1.20 4.50 2.63 1.47 1.87 1.87 1.05 1.13 3.30 1.06 7.50
Marathonbet 1.35 5.05 9.30 1.66 2.23 1.17 4.25 2.51 1.44 1.95 1.76 1.07 1.18 3.30 — —
Betano 1.37 5.10 8.25 1.70 2.22 1.22 4.30 2.67 1.50 1.98 1.78 1.10 1.16 3.20 1.12 5.60
BetVictor 1.30 5.00 9.00 1.62 2.12 1.18 4.60 2.47 1.46 1.93 1.78 1.08 1.08 3.20 1.08 6.50
Dafabet 1.36 5.40 8.40 — — — — — — — — — — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue AS Roma – Cagliari Calcio ?

Le match se joue le 27/10/2026 à 20:45 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour AS Roma – Cagliari Calcio ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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