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Sporting Kansas City vs Austin FC prediction: AI analysis & odds

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SPOSporting Kansas City
Sporting Kansas City
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L L D L W
VS
25/10/2026
Kick-off 02:30 Paris time
AUSAustin FC
Austin FC
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L L L D D
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 5 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Sporting Kansas City-Austin FC score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 Z. Kolmanic — Austin FC · Thigh Injury
  • 🩹 M. Desler — Austin FC · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 O. Blorian — Sporting Kansas City · Chest Injury
  • 🩹 Diego Borges — Sporting Kansas City · Groin Injury
  • 🩹 L. Johnsen — Sporting Kansas City · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 M. Mosquera — Sporting Kansas City · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 O. Wolff — Sporting Kansas City · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 J. Reynolds — Sporting Kansas City · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 Capita — Sporting Kansas City · Hamstring Injury
  • 🩹 J. Davis — Sporting Kansas City · Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Austin FC STAT Sporting Kansas City
0.81
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.51
3.03
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
2.04
0.85
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.13
1.4
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.8
2.2
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.6
4.0
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.4
1.40
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.00
60.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
80.0%
90.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
70.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
10.0%
5
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
4
Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas CityHOM
Oct. 18, 2026Sporting Kans… - Real Salt Lake1 - 3L
Oct. 15, 2026Nashville SC - Sporting Kans…4 - 0L
Oct. 11, 2026Sporting Kans… - Portland Timb…3 - 3D
Oct. 2, 2026Seattle Sound… - Sporting Kans…2 - 1L
Sept. 27, 2026Houston Dynamo - Sporting Kans…0 - 2W
Austin FCAustin FCAWY
Oct. 18, 2026Austin FC - Vancouver Whi…1 - 2L
Oct. 15, 2026Los Angeles FC - Austin FC3 - 1L
Oct. 11, 2026Austin FC - Nashville SC1 - 4L
Sept. 27, 2026Austin FC - San Diego FC3 - 3D
Sept. 20, 2026FC Dallas - Austin FC0 - 0D

Head-to-Head

08/09/25Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC1 – 2
23/02/25Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City1 – 0
30/06/24Sporting Kansas City — Austin FC2 – 0
19/05/24Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City3 – 2
16/07/23Austin FC — Sporting Kansas City2 – 1
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Sporting Kansas City – Austin FC ?

Le match se joue le 25/10/2026 à 02:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Sporting Kansas City – Austin FC ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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