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San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys prediction: AI analysis & odds

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SANSan Lorenzo
San Lorenzo
Home
★Follow
Last 5 W W L L D
VS
25/10/2026
Kick-off 00:15 Paris time
NEWNewells Old Boys
Newells Old Boys
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L D W D D
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 6 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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San Lorenzo-Newells Old Boys score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

No absences reported for this match.

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Newells Old Boys STAT San Lorenzo
1.03
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
0.90
0.78
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.69
1.04
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
0.99
0.6
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
0.6
0.4
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.2
3.4
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
3.4
0.60
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
0.60
30.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
10.0%
50.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
10.0%
40.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
40.0%
7
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
7
San LorenzoSan LorenzoHOM
Oct. 18, 2026Estudiantes L… - San Lorenzo1 - 2W
Oct. 11, 2026San Lorenzo - Dep. Riestra1 - 0W
Oct. 3, 2026Defensa y Jus… - San Lorenzo3 - 0L
Sept. 20, 2026San Lorenzo - Boca Juniors0 - 2L
Sept. 13, 2026Independiente - San Lorenzo1 - 1D
Newells Old BoysNewells Old BoysAWY
Oct. 12, 2026Gimnasia Mend… - Newells Old B…1 - 0L
Oct. 3, 2026Newells Old B… - Lanus0 - 0D
Sept. 20, 2026Platense - Newells Old B…0 - 1W
Sept. 11, 2026Newells Old B… - Velez Sarsfie…1 - 1D
Sept. 6, 2026Rosario Centr… - Newells Old B…1 - 1D

Head-to-Head

27/07/24San Lorenzo — Newells Old Boys1 – 1
04/03/24Newells Old Boys — San Lorenzo2 – 2
07/10/23San Lorenzo — Newells Old Boys0 – 3
20/03/23Newells Old Boys — San Lorenzo1 – 0
10/06/22Newells Old Boys — San Lorenzo0 – 0
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue San Lorenzo – Newells Old Boys ?

Le match se joue le 25/10/2026 à 00:15 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour San Lorenzo – Newells Old Boys ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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