Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

Orlando City vs New York City prediction: AI analysis & odds

AI Trend 🔒 Members only — 7-day free trial
ORLOrlando City
Orlando City
Home
★Follow
Last 5 W D W L L
VS
25/10/2026
Kick-off 01:30 Paris time
NEWNew York City
New York City
Away
★Follow
Last 5 D L L D L
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 5 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
🔒
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
🔒
AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
🔒
—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
🔒
—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
See them — 7-day free trial
No credit card required.

Orlando City-New York City score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 R. Jansson — Orlando City · Foot Injury
  • 🩹 Vinicius Nogueira — Orlando City · Shoulder Injury
  • 🩹 J. Ellis — Orlando City · Illness
  • 🩹 D. Baiera — New York City · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 A. Farnos — New York City · Injury
  • 🩹 M. Moralez — New York City · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 K. Parks — New York City · Injury
  • 🩹 K. Trewin — New York City · Ankle Injury
  • 🩹 T. Spicer — Orlando City · Foot Injury
  • 🩹 G. Dorsey — Orlando City · Back Injury
  • 🩹 M. Ilenic — New York City · Illness
  • 🩹 Talles Magno — New York City · Muscle Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

New York City STAT Orlando City
1.34
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.72
1.38
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
2.63
1.24
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
2.00
1.2
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.6
1.6
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
2.6
4.2
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
5.4
1.20
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.00
50.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
90.0%
70.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
80.0%
20.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
20.0%
4
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
7
Orlando CityOrlando CityHOM
Oct. 17, 2026Orlando City - DC United4 - 1W
Oct. 14, 2026Toronto FC - Orlando City3 - 3D
Oct. 10, 2026Orlando City - Columbus Crew3 - 2W
Sept. 26, 2026Philadelphia … - Orlando City4 - 2L
Sept. 19, 2026New England R… - Orlando City4 - 2L
New York CityNew York CityAWY
Oct. 17, 2026New York City - Los Angeles FC1 - 1D
Oct. 14, 2026Inter Miami - New York City2 - 0L
Oct. 10, 2026Chicago Fire - New York City2 - 1L
Sept. 26, 2026Atlanta Utd - New York City2 - 2D
Sept. 18, 2026New York City - New York Red …1 - 2L

Head-to-Head

17/07/25Orlando City — New York City1 – 2
09/03/25New York City — Orlando City2 – 1
21/07/24Orlando City — New York City1 – 1
29/06/24New York City — Orlando City4 – 2
21/09/23New York City — Orlando City2 – 0
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Orlando City – New York City ?

Le match se joue le 25/10/2026 à 01:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Orlando City – New York City ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700