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Atlanta Utd vs Chicago Fire prediction: AI analysis & odds

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ATLAtlanta Utd
Atlanta Utd
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L W L D W
VS
25/10/2026
Kick-off 01:30 Paris time
CHIChicago Fire
Chicago Fire
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L L W W W
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 5 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
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AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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Atlanta Utd-Chicago Fire score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 D. Chica — Atlanta Utd · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 W. Reilly — Atlanta Utd · Ankle Injury
  • 🩹 J. Elliott — Chicago Fire · Red Card
  • 🩹 A. Franco — Chicago Fire · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 R. Lod — Chicago Fire · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 A. Mekvabishvili — Chicago Fire · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 S. Rogers — Chicago Fire · Lower-Body Injury
  • 🩹 D. D'Avilla — Chicago Fire · Red Card
  • 🩹 T. Jacob — Atlanta Utd · Yellow Cards

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Chicago Fire STAT Atlanta Utd
1.59
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.33
1.63
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
1.08
1.62
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.45
1.4
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.4
1.6
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.0
4.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
4.6
1.60
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
1.40
70.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
70.0%
80.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
60.0%
10.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
30.0%
9
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
8
Atlanta UtdAtlanta UtdHOM
Oct. 17, 2026Atlanta Utd - Inter Miami1 - 3L
Oct. 14, 2026CF Montreal - Atlanta Utd0 - 3W
Oct. 10, 2026Atlanta Utd - FC Cincinnati1 - 3L
Sept. 26, 2026Atlanta Utd - New York City2 - 2D
Sept. 20, 2026Portland Timb… - Atlanta Utd0 - 1W
Chicago FireChicago FireAWY
Oct. 17, 2026New England R… - Chicago Fire1 - 0L
Oct. 15, 2026Chicago Fire - Philadelphia …1 - 3L
Oct. 10, 2026Chicago Fire - New York City2 - 1W
Oct. 7, 2026Chicago Fire - Vancouver Whi…3 - 1W
Sept. 26, 2026Charlotte - Chicago Fire0 - 1W

Head-to-Head

17/07/25Atlanta Utd — Chicago Fire2 – 2
10/05/25Chicago Fire — Atlanta Utd2 – 1
28/04/24Chicago Fire — Atlanta Utd0 – 0
31/03/24Atlanta Utd — Chicago Fire3 – 0
21/05/23Chicago Fire — Atlanta Utd3 – 3
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue Atlanta Utd – Chicago Fire ?

Le match se joue le 25/10/2026 à 01:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour Atlanta Utd – Chicago Fire ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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