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VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Monchengladbach prediction: AI analysis & odds

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VFBVfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
Home
★Follow
Last 5 L W W L L
VS
23/10/2026
Kick-off 20:30 Paris time
BORBorussia Monchengladbach
Borussia Monchengladbach
Away
★Follow
Last 5 L L L L L
Analysis due before kick-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method

Our picks for this match

7 markets analyzed
In this league, 4 verified model reads (market and side) over two test seasons, 2024-25 and 2025-26: the realized rate never fell below the stated probability, within 2 points. Details for members only.
MarketOur readProbabilityOddsStatus
🏆Match result (1X2)
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AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 2.5 goals
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AI Trend
🛡️Double chance
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—
AI Trend
⚖️Draw no bet (DNB)
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—
AI Trend
🎯Both teams to score
🔒
AI Trend
➕Over/Under 1.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
⚽Over/Under 3.5 goals
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—
AI Trend
🔓 Unlock the 7 predictions for this match 7-day free trial · no credit card · verified reads included

How to read: probability = our estimated chances that the scenario happens (stated ≈ realized). "Market" = the probability implied by the odds. Official pick = our probability beats the market's (value detected): it goes into our record. AI trend = a model read, outside the official record; trends on the same match can be played together. A high probability comes with short odds: it lands often but pays little. Odds = best price in our comparator. Every settled trend is published in the trends journal.

Most likely scorelines

Our three most likely scorelines for this match, with their probabilities, are reserved for members.
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VfB Stuttgart-Borussia Monchengladbach score, bivariate Poisson goals model (Dixon-Coles). Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →

Analysis coming soon

On match day

The full analysis will be published on match day.

Our AI factors in line-ups, live odds and match conditions at publication time, around 12:00 (Paris time).

Absences

  • 🩹 F. Fleck — Borussia Monchengladbach · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 J. Leszczynski — Borussia Monchengladbach · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 J. Castrop — Borussia Monchengladbach · Shoulder Injury
  • 🩹 F. Honorat — Borussia Monchengladbach · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 N. Kuhn — Borussia Monchengladbach · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 E. Leopold — Borussia Monchengladbach · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 K. Itakura — Borussia Monchengladbach · Ankle Injury
  • 🩹 T. Kleindienst — Borussia Monchengladbach · Injury
  • 🩹 A. Al Dakhil — VfB Stuttgart · Knee Injury
  • 🩹 J. Diehl — VfB Stuttgart · Muscle Injury
  • 🩹 M. Mittelstadt — VfB Stuttgart · Heel Injury
  • 🩹 N. Nartey — VfB Stuttgart · Muscle Injury

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

11 of 35 model features (last 5-10 games)

Borussia Monchengladbach STAT VfB Stuttgart
1.58
xG (L5) ? Expected Goals — buts attendus selon la qualité des occasions créées (5 derniers)
1.95
2.61
xGA (L5) ? Expected Goals Against — buts attendus concédés selon la qualité des tirs subis
2.59
1.03
Adj. xG ? Opponent-Strength Adjusted xG — xG ajusté à la force des adversaires rencontrés
1.36
1.4
Goals scored (L5) ? Buts marqués en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.6
3.6
Goals conceded (L5) ? Buts concédés en moyenne sur les 5 derniers matchs
1.8
4.8
Shots on target (L5) ? Tirs cadrés par match — proxy d'activité offensive
6.0
0.40
Home / away goals ? Moyenne de buts marqués uniquement à domicile (dom.) ou à l'extérieur (ext.)
2.40
70.0%
Over 2.5 (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs terminés avec 3+ buts sur les 10 derniers
70.0%
50.0%
BTTS (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs où les deux équipes ont marqué (10 derniers)
80.0%
30.0%
Clean sheets (L10) ? Pourcentage de matchs sans but encaissé (10 derniers)
10.0%
0
Form (L5) ? Points accumulés sur les 5 derniers matchs (max 15)
6
VfB StuttgartVfB StuttgartHOM
Oct. 17, 2026Hamburg - VfB Stuttgart1 - 0L
Oct. 14, 2026Slovan Bratis… - VfB Stuttgart0 - 3W
Oct. 10, 2026Paderborn - VfB Stuttgart0 - 2W
Sept. 19, 2026VfB Stuttgart - Borussia Dort…0 - 1L
Sept. 12, 2026TSG Hoffenheim - VfB Stuttgart2 - 1L
Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia MonchengladbachAWY
Oct. 18, 2026Borussia Monc… - TSG Hoffenheim1 - 2L
Oct. 11, 2026FC Koln - Borussia Monc…2 - 1L
Sept. 19, 2026Borussia Monc… - Mainz 053 - 4L
Sept. 12, 2026SC Freiburg - Borussia Monc…5 - 0L
Sept. 5, 2026Borussia Monc… - Elversberg3 - 4L

Head-to-Head

25/01/26Borussia Monchengladbach — VfB Stuttgart0 – 3
30/08/25VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Monchengladbach1 – 0
01/02/25VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Monchengladbach1 – 2
14/09/24Borussia Monchengladbach — VfB Stuttgart1 – 3
18/05/24VfB Stuttgart — Borussia Monchengladbach4 – 0
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Frequently asked questions

Quand se joue VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Monchengladbach ?

Le match se joue le 23/10/2026 à 20:30 (heure de Paris).

Où trouver un pronostic pour VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Monchengladbach ?

Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.

Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?

Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.

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