Jagiellonia vs Anderlecht prediction: AI analysis & odds
Our picks for this match
Most likely scorelines
Jagiellonia-Anderlecht score, Poisson goals model driven by our club ratings — used when current-season indicators are still missing (season start, cups). Model still in testing, not certified against the market. Correct score remains football's hardest market: our top scoreline hits ~15% of the time, in line with the displayed probability. AI correct score generator & method →
Our Expert Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
Jagiellonia hosts this league-phase fixture and plays in the Polish league. Its last five results are a 0-1 loss away to Zaglebie Lubin, a 3-1 win over Ararat-Armenia, then 1-3 home losses to Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa. It also lost 1-2 away to Olympiakos Piraeus.
Anderlecht travels and plays in the Belgian league. Its last five results are a 0-1 loss away to Dinamo Zagreb, wins of 2-1 over Cercle Brugge, 3-0 over Zulte Waregem and 1-0 over Mechelen, and a 1-2 home loss to Olympique Lyon.
1X2 ANALYSIS (Match Result)
Double chance 12 (no draw): this line wins if either club takes the match and loses on a draw. The market has Anderlecht as favorite, with 42.7% for the away win, 30.7% for Jagiellonia and 26.5% for the draw. The reference scenario is a match with a winner, leaning slightly toward Anderlecht.
The tables point the same way. Jagiellonia has conceded three goals twice at home, against Gornik Zabrze and Legia Warszawa, which leaves room for a decisive result. Anderlecht scored three against Zulte Waregem but lost 0-1 in Zagreb: its last two away games tell two different stories.
Against the market, odds of 1.31 imply a probability of 76.3%, against a model probability of 76.2%. The edge is -0.1 pts: our model leans toward this outcome, but the price does not pay this scenario.
The scenario that sinks this line is a draw, which the market puts at 26.5%. Anderlecht's 0-1 away loss to Dinamo Zagreb shows a tight game is still possible, and squad news or fatigue could shift this reading.
We are not playing this match: the double chance 12 price does not pay our estimate.
Absences
- 🩹 I. Camara — Anderlecht · Foot Injury
- 🩹 L. Hey — Anderlecht · Broken Leg
- 🩹 I. Koutsoupias — Anderlecht · Off the roster
- 🩹 K. Sardella — Anderlecht · Inactive
- 🩹 M. Winkler — Anderlecht · Inactive
- 🩹 D. Drachal — Jagiellonia · Off the roster
- 🩹 C. Polak — Jagiellonia · Off the roster
- 🩹 N. Wojtuszek — Jagiellonia · Inactive
- 🩹 Z. Zalewski — Jagiellonia · Off the roster
- 🩹 N. Prelec — Jagiellonia · Inactive
- 🩹 D. Rallis — Jagiellonia · Off the roster
- 🩹 G. Biancone — Anderlecht · Hamstring Injury
The referee
Form & Stats
JagielloniaHOM
AnderlechtAWYHead-to-Head
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Frequently asked questions
Quand se joue Jagiellonia – Anderlecht ?
Le match se joue le 22/10/2026 à 21:00 (heure de Paris).
Où trouver un pronostic pour Jagiellonia – Anderlecht ?
Cette page ProbWin affiche les probabilités calibrées de notre modèle pour chaque marché (1X2, plus/moins de buts), les scores les plus probables, la forme des deux équipes et, le jour du match, une analyse écrite complète.
Comment sont calculées ces probabilités ?
Nos modèles statistiques sont entraînés sur l'historique de 40 championnats (buts, forme, calendrier) et recalibrés chaque jour. Chaque prédiction est publiée avant le coup d'envoi et son résultat est conservé dans notre journal public.
